Game Seventy-Five – Cubs (31-43) vs. Reds (38-37)
- Game Time – 7:05pm CDT
- Coverage – TV: Comcast SportsNet – Radio: 720 WGN, XM Radio Channels 185, 844
- Location – Wrigley Field, Chicago
Jake Arrieta (3-1, 1.98/1.20/2.31) vs. Homer Bailey (7-3, 4.68/1.45/4.08)
Weather permitting … The Cubs look to snap their three-game skid tonight behind Jake Arrieta and pick up a win against the Reds at Wrigley Field. The Cubs continue to struggle against other teams in the central. Not only are the Cubs 2-18 in their last 20 games at Wrigley against the Reds, but the Cubs are 14-23 versus the central this season (10-8 vs. the East; 5-6 vs. the West).
Until the wheels fell off in the ninth inning Monday night, the Cubs looked like they were on their way to another one-run loss. The Cubs are 7-13 in one-run games this year and while some may point to the bullpen as the reason for the 7-13 mark in one-run games, the Cubs are 10-23 in games decided by two runs or less and 17-30 in games decided by three runs or less, which is the worst mark in the big leagues. The Cubs are not taking advantage of scoring opportunities and until the offense sees a new infusion of talent, the frustration with leaving countless runners in scoring position will continue.
Rick Renteria should be a reliever short tonight after Hector Rondon was left in to throw 32 pitches on Monday. If the Cubs have a lead in the ninth, Neil Ramirez could be used to try to close out the game. Ramirez did not pitch Monday after throwing in two of the three games in the Pirates series.
The offense has the tough task of trying to figure out Homer Bailey tonight. Rick Renteria should load his lineup with as many lefties as possible. Bailey has limited right handers to a .256/.291/.393 slash line while lefties have hit .329/.408/.412 against him this season.
Tonight all starts with Jake Arrieta …
Jake Arrieta has been very, very good of late. Arrieta is coming off back-to-back seven inning starts and has walked two batters while striking out 20 over his last 14 innings. Arrieta set a career high with 11 strikeouts in his last start in Miami and held a good Marlins team to one run on five hits. Arrieta is 2-0 in his last four starts with a 0.73 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP.
Arrieta is making only his fourth start of the season at Wrigley Field. Arrieta has three no decisions at home this year with a 0.56 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Arrieta has not faced this season and tonight is Arrieta’s first start of his career against the Reds.
Ramon Santiago (0-for-2 with a walk), Brayan Pena (0-for-2) and Skip Schumaker (1-for-1 with a walk) are the only three players on the Reds active roster that has faced Jake Arrieta in a regular season big league ballgame.
Homer Bailey has not pitched to expectations this season, especially after signing the big extension in Spring Training. Bailey is coming off a no decision against the Pirates in Pittsburgh in which he allowed three runs on nine hits with one walks and five strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings.
After a slow start (1-2 in five starts with a 6.15 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP), Bailey was better in May and is 2-0 in his last four starts with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Bailey has struggled outside of the Great American Ball Park this year. In eight road starts, Bailey is 2-2 with a 5.32 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. But against the Cubs, Bailey was lights out back on April 20 at Wrigley. Bailey tossed six innings of shutout ball with three walks, six hits and eight strikeouts.
For his career, Homer Bailey is 8-2 in 14 starts versus the Cubs with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP … at Wrigley Field, Bailey is 5-1 in seven starts with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP.
Cubs Career Numbers against Homer Bailey
Let’s Talk Cubs Baseball …