Question about baseball stat projections.

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Quick apology to everyone else who posted a CB post. I hate to bump all of yours down. Neil, could you delete this after I've got a couple of opinions? Thanks.

My question concerns the 2009 projection systems. I'm looking at the Cubs projections. Combined and averaged out, we're looking at a 95 win team (more or less). However, my question is which system is the best.

In my list I have:

Bill James

All of the above read more or less the same about this team. (REALLY GOOD)

But historically, which system is the most accurate? Gracias everyone!