Talkin’ Cubs Live – Cubs vs. Braves – 09/22/13

Game One Hundred Fifty-Six: Cubs (65-90) vs. Braves (91-63)

  • Game Time – 1:20pm CDT
  • Coverage – TV: WGN TV – Radio: 720 WGN, XM Radio Channels 186/844
  • Location – Wrigley Field, Chicago

Edwin Jackson (8-16, 4.75/1.42/3.62) vs. Julio Teheran (12-8, 3.14/1.19/3.77)

It is the First Day of Fall and the Cubs wrap up the series and season series against the Braves this afternoon. The Cubs finally closed out a win against the Braves (1-4) on Saturday and will look to take the series from the soon-to-be NL East Champs today.

Edwin Jackson makes the first of his last two starts of the season and really needs to finish the year on a positive note. Jackson has shown the Cubs how good he can be (3-1 in five starts in July with a 1.83 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP) but the consistency that has eluded him throughout his career has led to his struggles during his first year with the Cubs.

Look for Dale Sveum to load his lineup once again with as many left handers as he can, and that should include Logan Watkins. Julio Teheran has limited right handers to a .201/.263/.280 line this year while lefties and pounded Teheran this season (.295/.349/.452 with 14 home runs)

This afternoon all starts with Edwin Jackson

Edwin Jackson makes his final start of his first season calling Wrigley Field his home park today. After a not-so-good beginning to the year at Wrigley, Jackson has ended up putting together decent numbers at Wrigley. In 12 starts, Jackson is 4-7 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. Jackson has allowed 83 hits with 25 walks and 61 strikeouts in 72 innings with only four home runs.

To say Jackson’s last start did not go well would be an understatement. Jackson lasted just four innings and had a heated discussion with his manager in the dugout after being very ineffective on the mound. Jackson gave up two runs on two hits with three walks and three strikeouts. Jackson is 1-2 in his last three starts with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP and the Cubs are 2-8 the last 10 times he’s been given the ball.

Edwin Jackson missed the Braves in Atlanta earlier in the season and is 0-1 in six games, four starts, versus the Braves in his career with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP.

Braves Career Numbers against Edwin Jackson

  • Dan Uggla – 1-for-15 with a walk
  • Jason Heyward – 3-for-11 with a home run and two walks
  • Brian McCann – 3-for-9 with a double, a home run and two walks
  • Justin Upton – 6-for-8 with two doubles, a home run and a walk
  • Freddie Freeman – 4-for-8 with a double, a triple and a home run
  • B.J. Upton – 1-for-5 with a walk
  • Gerald Laird – 2-for-6
  • Reed Johnson – 1-for-4 with a double and a walk
  • Jordan Schafer – 0-for-5
  • Elliot Johnson – 0-for-3
  • Paul Janish – 1-for-3
  • Chris Johnson – 0-for-2
  • Andrelton Simmons – 0-for-2

Julio Teheran has been very, very good in his first full season in the Braves rotation. Teheran makes his 29th start of the year this afternoon and is coming off a loss to the Padres in which he allowed four runs on seven hits with no walks and six strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings. Teheran could be running out of gas. After posting a 4-2 record in six starts last month with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP, he is 1-1 in his last two starts with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.

Julio Teheran has nearly a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio on the season (160 strikeouts, 45 walks) and figures to be a big challenge for the Cubs this afternoon.

One of Teheran’s rough outings of the year came against the Cubs in his first start of the season back on April 6. The Cubs scored five runs on eight hits against Tehran in five innings. Anthony Rizzo hit a two-run homer, Luis Valbuena added a solo shot and Welington Castillo drove in a run but Carlos Marmol blew the game when the Uptons took him deep in the ninth.

Julio Teheran makes his second career start against the Cubs this afternoon and his first appearance at Wrigley Field.

Cubs Career Numbers against Julio Teheran

  • Starlin Castro (.285) – 1-for-3
  • Anthony Rizzo (.255) – 1-for-3 with a home run
  • Nate Schierholtz (.274) – 2-for-3 with a double
  • Luis Valbuena (.235) – 1-for-3 with a home run

Let’s Talk Cubs Baseball …

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Quote of the Day

"Never let the fear of striking out get in your way of playing the game." – Babe Ruth

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  • Neil

    Today’s lineup:

    Castro SS
    Valbuena 3B
    Rizzo 1B
    Navarro C
    Schierholtz RF
    Bogusevic CF
    Lake LF
    Barney 2B
    Jackson P

  • Neil

    Ryne Sandberg will be named the Phillies’ manager at a press conference this morning (10:30am CDT)

    • CubbyDenCritic

      He will have the Phillies back in the playoffs next season.

      • Theboardrider

        Seriously doubt that. Braves and Nationals are both better teams. Sandberg ha a bright future as a manager but can’t overxome being outclassed on the field.

        • Ripsnorter1

          I have zero confidence in Ruben Amaro, Jr, to turn that thing around.

          I have more confidence in Team Theo than him.

  • CubbyDenCritic

    Last place Astros FO told their manager he is coming back in 2014…
    I think Theo wants a change before the Young Guns come up.
    CNN / MLB ranks our farm system at #3.

    • TheWrongGuy

      Yes our farm system looks very good indeed. It is full of very high projected position players we need more high-end pitching prospects.

      I am already on record for a change in the coaching whether it is Sveum, Rowson, Deer, Quirk, Strode, or Bell. Somewhere in this mixture there is a flaw in coaching. I hope the front office evaluators make a solid choice what ever it is.

    • paulcatanese

      But why make any change’s, the Cubs have just turned their season around:)

  • CubbyDenCritic

    If any Wrigleyville residents have backyard pools, expect Braves players to celebrate in them after the game.

  • cubtex

    Since it is Stats Sunday…Lets look deeper into Edwin Jackson’s numbers to show that he has been somewhat “unlucky” and the numbers do not tell the whole story. Traditional fans will look at the record 8-16 and close to 5.00 ERA and think that he has been awful. Saber people know better.
    Example- EJax has given up a ton of hard hit balls that resulted in extra base hits and home runs. “IF” the batters had just hit an inch lower on the barrell of the bat….Many of those HR’s and Doubles would have resulted in fly outs.
    EJax is also among the league leaders in wild pitches. IF the Cubs had signed Blackhawks goalie(Corey Crawford) and he had caught those games….Crawford would have been able to save many of those wild pitches.
    See…..You cannot just look at traditional stats. There is a reason why batters have absolutely demolished him this year. Batters have squared up the ball at an unusually high rate.

    Next year the batter should just square up against him at a high rate(his career norm)

    • TheWrongGuy

      HAHAHA! Very good stats indeed. =)

    • No Baseball In Indiana

      Is that why he has one of the lowest HR/9 on the team? All of those HRs you speak of? But I digress please continue displaying your baseball acumen.

      • cubtex

        Knock Knock. Who’s there? queen. Queen who? Queen my dishes please……pause…it’s clean. I said Queen to make a funny!

    • Ripsnorter1

      Mr. “No Baseball in Indiana” is correct. Edwin Jackson, esquire, has actually given up
      few HRs per 9 IP this year than his career average. His career average is one tater per 9 IP;
      this year, it has only been 0.7 HR per 9 IP.

      His walk rate is down, too. 3.0 per 9 IP vs 3.5 per 9 career.
      His K rate is the same: 6.9 vs 6.9 career.

      So you see, the problem hasn’t been the walks or the HRs.

      What has been the problem(s)?
      #1 Welington Castillo. He has 13 Wild Pitches, which is 2nd most in his career.
      (Career average is 6.6). And yes, Castillo is to blame in that this soon to be gold glover (Mr. Castillo)
      hasn’t prevented a wild pitch like Mr. Yadira Molina.

      #2 Jackson hasn’t walked as many because they are hitting him. His 189 hits allowed
      for just 172 IP (9.8 H/9) is worse than his career average of 9.5 H.

      #3 Unearned runs. 13 this year. Career average is 4.8 unearned runs per year.

      #4. Large contracts weigh heavy on the mind. Deep down in his heart of
      hearts, he knows he isn’t worth the money.

      • Neil

        Wow, really? How many of his 13 wild pitches was Castillo behind the plate for? I can think of one game in which Navarro was behind there for four of them.

        The wild pitches are not good, but not the number one issue.

        Just because you don’t agree with the improvement behind the plate that Castillo has made this year does not mean you have to put him down. Castillo has improved, it is too bad you cannot see that.

        • Ripsnorter1

          I agree that Castillo has improved as the year went along.
          I can see that.

          He isn’t ready for the gold glove in 2013, imo.

          Molina is the best defensive catcher in MLB at this time, and
          probably the best in the last 20 years. Unless you can think of
          some better defensive catcher(s).

          • cubtex

            Barry Foote, Koyie Hill, Steve Lake, Mark Parent,Tyler Houston….Should I go on?

          • Neil

            No he is not. Yes, Molina is. Your number one reason for Jackson was the 13 wild pitches and pointed to Castillo, that is not the case.

          • Tony_Hall

            Just because someone mentioned at the end of an article that was about Barney and Rizzo being in good position to win Gold Gloves and that Castillo could be in line to be the 3rd as he leads in DRS, you keep harping on him.

            This wasn’t about Gold Gloves or whether Yadier is the best defensive catcher in baseball (HE IS!!!).

            This was someone who has no understanding of advanced stats showing how little he gets what they try to accomplish.

            Castillo is a good young catcher who is getting better and has made huge strides on his defense this year. Would I rather have Yadier right now, absolutely, But Yadier is 31 and there is no doubt for catchers that puts him on the backside of his great career.

          • Ripsnorter1

            But the point I was making….wasn’t about Castillo.

            It was about Ed Jackson’s problem…he’s not giving up more taters,
            he’s not walking more batters…he’s just giving up more hits, and his
            catcher is not blocking as many balls as Yadir Molina. Add in a few
            extra unearned runs, and an oversized contract, and that accounts–in my mind–
            for the falloff in Jackson’s performance. That’s my point.

      • cubtex

        You and No baseball are killing me :)
        This was meant as simply a joke as how I feel it is overkill to overanalyze so many numbers on players. I didn’t want this to become a debate on what are the reasons.

        Let’s just say EJax threw far too many hittable strikes and far too many uncatchable pitches. :)))) 4.75 ERA don’t lie!

  • cubtex

    Back to football. Stats “Overload” Sunday is making me nauseous

  • Neil

    Barney with an infield single, fifth hit for the Cubs.

  • Neil

    Sweeney put together another good at bat

    • paulcatanese

      By far, the best looking outfielder the Cubs have.

  • Neil

    Upton did not catch the ball

  • Neil

    Cubs lost to the Braves 5-2 on Sunday afternoon – Edwin Jackson: 3R, 8H (2 HR), 0BB, WP, 6K in 6+ IP
    (106 pitches, 67 strikes)

    Anthony Rizzo: 1-4, 2B, R; Dioner Navarro: 2-4,
    RBI; Darwin Barney: 2-3, R; Starlin Castro: 0-4, RBI