Talkin’ Cubs Live – Cubs vs. Cardinals – 08/11/13

Game One Hundred Seventeen: Cubs (52-64) vs. Cardinals (66-50)

  • Game Time – 1:15pm CDT
  • Coverage – TV: WGN TV – Radio: 720 WGN, XM Radio Channels 89/844
  • Location – Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Edwin Jackson (7-12, 4.96/1.39) vs. Joe Kelly (3-3, 2.98/1.37)

If the Cardinals were looking past the Cubs and to the series with the Pirates that begins on Tuesday, Saturday night’s loss might have gotten their attention. The Cubs have already won a series against the Redbirds that St. Louis was counting as three easy victories before the series began on Friday night. The Cubs have now split the 12 games (6-6) with St. Louis this season and a victory today would give the Cubs a 4-2 road trip over the six games through Philadelphia and St. Louis.

The Cubs improved approach at the plate really paid dividends over the first two games against the Cardinals. The Cubs have been working deeper counts and running up pitch counts for several weeks but have had little to show for it in terms of walks. The Cubs have walked 13 times over the last two games and must keep with the game plan today against Joe Kelly. Teams have had trouble scoring against Kelly of late but he has issued more than his share of free passes.

Dale Sveum is expected to run out a similar lineup this afternoon as to the one he used on Saturday night. Dioner Navarro is not ready to start yet, the Cubs are targeting Monday night against the Reds, plus Welington Castillo is 11-for-26 with two doubles, a home run, eight walks, two HBP and five strikeouts in his last 10 games.

This afternoon all starts with Edwin Jackson

Edwin Jackson took several steps back in his last start and put together a performance that was reminiscent of the starts that he made in April. Jackson had very little command of his fastball and when he got it over the dish, the Phillies hit him very hard. Jackson gave up seven runs on 10 hits with two walks and two strikeouts in five innings. Jackson was on a roll prior to his start in Philly, can he get back on track this afternoon?

Thanks to his last outing, Jackson is 1-2 over his last four starts with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP.

Edwin Jackson faces the Cardinals for the third time this season. Jackson has been pretty good against one of his old teams. Jackson is 1-1 in two starts with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. Jackson beat the Redbirds at Wrigley back on July 11 in what was likely his best start of the season. Jackson tossed seven innings of three-hit shutout ball. The Cardinals beat Jackson in St. Louis on June 19 after touching him up for four runs on six hits in 5 1/3 innings.

Which Edwin Jackson will show up today?

Cardinals Numbers against Edwin Jackson in 2013

  • Matt Adams – 0-for-1
  • Carlos Beltran – 1-for-5 with a walk
  • Matt Carpenter – 2-for-6
  • Allen Craig – 3-for-6 with a double
  • Daniel Descalso – 0-for-2
  • David Freese – 1-for-3 with a double
  • Matt Holliday – 1-for-5
  • Jon Jay – 0-for-4
  • Pete Kozma – 0-for-4

Joe Kelly picked up his first win of the year at the Cubs’ expense on July 12 at Wrigley. Kelly gave up one run on three hits in 5 1/3 innings. Since facing the Cubs, Kelly has posted two victories and the Redbirds are 2-1 in his last three starts.

Joe Kelly has held three very good teams in check the last three times he’s taken the ball. After beating the Cubs, Kelly tossed 6 1/3 innings of shutout ball in Atlanta then threw six innings of shutout baseball against the Pirates in Pittsburgh. Kelly then limited the Dodgers to one run on six hits in 5 1/3 innings.

Since July 12, Joe Kelly has allowed two runs on 19 hits with 11 walks and 12 strikeouts in 23 innings … and since the break, Kelly is 2-0 in three starts with a 0.51 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP.

Joe Kelly makes his third career start against the Cubs this afternoon. Kelly is 1-2 in four games, two starts, against the Cubs with a 3.14 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP.

Cubs Career Numbers against Joe Kelly

  • Darwin Barney – 0-for-3
  • Welington Castillo – 2-for-4
  • Starlin Castro – 2-for-6 with a double
  • David DeJesus – 3-for-4
  • Dioner Navarro – 0-for-1
  • Cody Ransom – 1-for-3 with a walk
  • Anthony Rizzo – 1-for-6 with a double
  • Nate Schierholtz – 0-for-2

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