Cubs Defense Gives Another One Away – Cubs 2, Marlins 5

Game Eleven – Cubs 3, Marlins 5
WP – Steve Cishek (1-0) LP – Rafael Dolis (0-1) Save – Heath Bell (1)

A throwing error by Ryan Dempster, a fielding error by Darwin Barney and a passed ball by Steve Clevenger gave the Marlins all the extra outs they needed to take the first game of the series Tuesday night. Three of the Marlins’ five runs were unearned due to the Cubs’ defensive miscues.

The game was tied at two going into the bottom of the eighth. The Cubs offense had wasted plenty of opportunities and ran themselves out of two other scoring chances. Rafael Dolis was a little shaky in the seventh but did not allow any runs … that all changed when Darwin Barney booted a routine grounder off the bat of Jose Reyes to start the eighth.

After Barney’s error, a passed ball by Steve Clevenger and a walk to Emilio Bonifacio, Dolis fell behind Hanley Ramirez 3-1. The Marlins’ shortstop smoked Dolis’ next pitch over the wall in left center. The contraption in centerfield did its thing and the Marlins took a 5-2 lead.

Heath Bell sat down the Cubs in order in the ninth for his first save in a Marlins’ uniform.

Ryan Dempster put together another good outing but it was his throwing error that led to the Marlins taking the lead in the fifth. Dempster allowed two unearned runs on four hits with two walks and eight strikeouts in six innings. Dempster threw 100 pitches, 63 for strikes.

Darwin Barney (3-for-4 with a run scored) and Starlin Castro (2-for-4 with a stolen base) accounted for five of the Cubs’ seven hits. Steve Clevenger (1-for-3 with a double and a run scored) notched the Cubs only extra basehit of the night and scored the tying run in the seventh on a single by Bryan LaHair (1-for-2 with a RBI and a walk).

The Cubs offense managed 10 baserunners (seven hits and three walks) but grounded into four double plays. Dale Sveum’s team also committed two baserunning mistakes that led to two outs.

It is hard to win a game at the big league level if a team gives away as many outs as the Cubs did Tuesday night in Miami.

With Tuesday’s loss, the Cubs dropped to 3-8 on the season …

David DeJesus struck out swinging to start the game but at least worked the count (3-2 pitch). Darwin Barney recorded the first hit of the game with a single to left … but Starlin Castro popped out to shallow right and Soriano flied out to shallow right to end the inning.

Ryan Dempster was wobbly in the first and was able to escape a jam without allowing any runs … with a big assist from Marlon Byrd. Jose Reyes popped out to left to start the inning. Emilio Bonifacio walked (3-2 pitch) and promptly stole second (1-2 pitch to Ramirez). Dempster ended up walking Hanley Ramirez to put runners on first and second with one out.

Logan Morrison ripped a 1-2 pitch into left center. Marlon Byrd might not be hitting but he is not carrying his struggles into the field. Byrd made a sensational diving catch to take a hit and a RBI away from Morrison. Byrd threw back to second from his knees in an attempt to double off Bonifacio. Omar Infante flied out to left center to end the inning. Dempster threw 23 pitches in the first, 11 for strikes.

Ian Stewart walked to start the second but was erased when Steve Clevenger grounded into a 6-3 double play. Bryan LaHair crushed the first pitch from Josh Johnson … but in the big, new park it was a routine fly to center to end the inning.

Ryan Dempster bounced back from a rough first inning and sat down the Marlins in order in the second … and the Cubs did nothing in the top of the third.

Dempster retired Josh Johnson (struck out looking) and Jose Reyes (tapped back to the mound) quickly to start the bottom of the third. Emilio Bonifacio reached on an infield single to third. Stewart made an excellent stop but the throw from his knees was late to first. Bonifacio took second on a delayed steal after the first pitch to Hanley Ramirez. Ramirez worked the count to 3-2 before striking out swinging to end the inning.

The Cubs finally broke through in fourth after Darwin Barney reached on an infield single to short. Barney hit a high chopper off the plate to Reyes and reached first safely to start the inning. Starlin Castro ripped a 2-2 pitch back up the box. Barney advanced to third on Castro’s single to center. Castro took off for second on the first pitch to Soriano and slid in safe with his seventh stolen base of the year.

With runners on second and third with no outs, Alfonso Soriano put together an excellent at bat. Soriano grounded out to second on a 3-2 pitch and not only drove in Barney but advanced Castro to third with one out.

Ian Stewart and Steve Clevenger could not drive in Castro with the Cubs’ second run. Stewart struck out swinging (2-2 pitch) and Clevenger tapped back to Johnson (2-2 pitch) to end the inning.

Ryan Dempster retired Logan Morrison on a fly out to right to start the fourth. Omar Infante pulled a 2-2 pitch over the head of Ian Stewart and into left. Infante ended up at second with a double. Giancarlo Stanton hit a routine fly to Soriano for the second out … and the Cubs ended up doubling Infante off to end the inning. Infante took off, rounded third and did not retouch third on his way back to second (cut through the infield). Soriano threw to second and Barney tossed to third to end the inning.

Bryan LaHair worked a walk to start the fifth but was quickly erased when Marlon Byrd grounded into a 6-4-3 double play (1-2 pitch). Ryan Dempster grounded out to third to end the inning.

The Marlins were given a pair of runs in the bottom of the fifth after Gaby Sanchez doubled to left to start the inning. Dempster struck out John Buck (1-2 pitch) swinging for the first out. Josh Johnson hit a high chopper to the third base side of the mound. Dempster waited for the ball to come down … then threw it into the stands. Sanchez scored and tied the game at one. Johnson ended up at second on another throwing error by a Cubs’ pitcher.

To Dempster’s credit he settled down and struck out Jose Reyes swinging (2-2 pitch) for the second out. Emilio Bonifacio ripped a single into right (2-2 pitch). Johnson was waived home and scored. But Bryan LaHair scooped up the Jacque Jones-esque throw from David DeJesus and caught Bonifacio in a rundown to end the inning (9-3-6-2).

But the damage was done and at the end of five, the Cubs trailed 2-1. Dempster’s pitch count stood at 86, 53 for strikes.

The sixth started on a positive note for the Cubs. Down by one, David DeJesus walked to start the inning. Johnson’s first pitch to Barney was in the dirt. DeJesus took off for second. The ball bounced right up to Buck and DeJesus was thrown out by a mile.

Darwin Barney and Starlin Castro followed with singles … but Alfonso Soriano grounded into a 5-4-3 double play to end the inning. The third double play the Cubs grounded into in the first six innings.

The Marlins did nothing in the sixth. Dempster struck out two of the three batters he faced. Dempster threw 100 pitches in six innings, 63 for strikes.

After Ian Stewart grounded out to first to start the seventh, the ‘Doubles Machine‘ struck again. Steve Clevenger stroked a 3-2 pitch into left center and ended up at second with his fourth double of the season. Bryan LaHair punched a 2-1 pitch into center. Bonifacio fielded the ball and came up throwing. Clevenger rounded third and slid home safe with the Cubs’ second run. Clevenger slid around the tag of John Buck … it was a very close play. LaHair for some reason held at first with the throw from center going all the way to the plate in the air.

LaHair committed his second baserunning blunder when he broke for second with Josh Johnson in the set position. LaHair was tagged for the second out and Byrd predictably struck out swinging to end the inning.

Rafael Dolis replaced Dempster to start the seventh and Reed Johnson took over for Byrd in center on a double switch.

Dolis jumped ahead of the Giancarlo Stanton 1-2 before eventually walking him. Dolis was missing down, which is a good sign. Gaby Sanchez hit a 0-1 sinker from Dolis to Castro … 6-4-3 double play. John Buck singled to center (2-1 pitch) and Ozzie Guillen went to his bench and sent up Greg Dobbs to hit for Josh Johnson. Dobbs lofted a 2-0 pitch to Soriano, near the track, to end the inning.

Steve Cishek took over for the Fish to start the eighth and struck out Reed Johnson swinging (1-2 pitch). DeJesus fell behind 0-1 before getting plunked and taking his base. Darwin Barney hit into the Cubs’ fourth double play of the night (4-6-3) to end the inning.

Dolis stayed in and stared the bottom of the eighth and Barney booted a routine grounder off the bat of Jose Reyes. With Bonifacio at the plate, Steve Clevenger whiffed on a 1-0 pitch from Dolis. Reyes advanced to second on the passed ball. Dolis ended up walking Emilio Bonifacio. Without a hit, the Marlins had runners on first and second with no outs in a tie game.

Dolis fell behind Hanley Ramirez 3-0 before getting one over the plate. Ramirez crushed Dolis’ next pitch. The ball ended up over the wall in left center … and just like that the Marlins took a 5-2 lead.

Dale Sveum went to his pen and replaced Dolis with James Russell.

James Russell retired Logan Morrison and Omar Infante on ground outs to the left side of the infield. Giancarlo Stanton doubled off the base of the wall in left (replays showed he touched Barney’s glove and he should have been called out) but John Buck flied out to left center to end the inning.

The Cubs did nothing against Heath Bell in the ninth … game over.

Box Score from Yahoo Sports

Matt Garza is scheduled to face Mark Buehrle in game two Wednesday night.

Follow ChicagoCubsOnline on Twitter: @TheCCO

Quote of the Day

"Show me a guy who’s afraid to look bad, and I’ll show you a guy you can beat every time." – Lou Brock

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  • Aaron

    I’m betting on a 58-104 or 62-100 season for the Cubs. If the Cubs get to 70 wins, I will be beyond shocked. What that will mean if they accomplish that feat is they would have traded all of the worthless veterans like Soriano, Byrd, Baker, Johnson, DeWitt, Soto, etc. away and gone with prospects who came up and got on a win streak, because I just don’t see this team winning more than 2 games in a row…and even that I find hard to fathom at this point. If that’s the case, you’re looking at more than 100 losses. It’s simple math.

  • cubtex

    You can paint the bases blue in spring training. You can have a bunt contest. You can say you will focus on fundamentals and defense…….but if you have below average defensive players and flawed players… cannot change who they are in a couple of months. Look at who they are putting out in the field this year. LaHair is a downgrade at 1st. Barney is below average at 2B. Castro needs to become much more consistent at SS and Stewart is a very good defensive 3B. And……when you are in a close game like tonight and when you have Volstad and Maholm….you cannot give teams 4 and 5 outs per inning.

  • gary3411

    One thing I noticed, the Nationals are the worst team we will face until I think May 21st. That is a brutal beginning of the season schedule.

    • GaryLeeT

      Of course the schedule seems tough, when you field one of the worst teams in baseball.

      • gary3411

         If we had played ANY of the Astros, Pirates, Padres, Rockies, Mets, or Giants the first month and a half of the season, I wouldn’t have stated that. The schedule seems how the schedule is.

  • Scott Mcmeekan

    Okay, I have to admit that I like my crow served sautéed with garlic and onions…because these Cubs stink that much.  I was among the many here who said, ‘Give the new regime some time, let’s see how this plays out before we get our pessimistic undies in a bunch.’  

    Well, it turns out that Cubtex, 1967, Paul, Aaron and others were absolutely, 100% dead on in their assessments.  I stand corrected, and I hereby am putting Theo on the clock.  The only way to truly judge how they will be as the leadership of the Cubs will be to watch what they do in response to this horrible drivel that we’re seeing.  I don’t want to hear excuses, I want to hear answers.  And it’s clear to me (albeit much later than others) that there are guys in Iowa that need to be called up to play.  To facilitate that will require what many of you have been calling for, namely the jettisoning of players who ‘are what we thought they were’ in the words of Denny Green.

    This is disgusting.  I want change, and I want it now. 

    • KevininSanDiego

      To quote the Joker in the Batman movie “you can make an omlette without breaking some eggs”. This year is an egg. So are these players some are good eggs like Castro, some are bad eggs. This is going to take time and it may take until 2015 to get a true winner. But if they win it all in 2015 are 2012, 2013 or 2014 really going to matter?

      • cubtex

        To lifelong fans who pass away before 2015…….It matters!

    • John_CC

      They have played 11 games.  11 games with the same squad that you supposedly were going to give ‘some time’.  Time’s up and YOU have put Theo “on the clock!”  

      I hope he gets the memo. 

      now! now! now!!

      How,  Scott, do you think that works – your “I want it and I want it now?”  Clearly you do not have children.

      now now now!!

      • Tony_Hall

        I want it now!  They should have signed every top FA and just spent money, because we need wins and we need them in April, because this should have been the year….

        This year was just like the last 2 years, no chance for the playoffs.  The difference will be that this year we will see the roster turnover, where the last 2 years JH still thought he was in it in August. 

        Just think if 2 years ago, JH would have started turning the roster over then….we would look better today.   

        • cubs1967

          there should of been moves to make the team better; even gradually; sign a FA or too; not to win, but to make steps going forward; NOT make it worse…….OR just lose with the kids; this is crap.  the team is horrid. U can enjoy ur crow too; ketchup or mustard?……….I can wait.

          • Tony_Hall

            Not sure on the crow…I didn’t call this a playoff team, just said it won’t lose a 100 games.  I still don’t think it will, as the team will turn over this year with some of the guys at AAA coming up.  I believe April and May will be the worst record for the year, June and July in the middle and August and September will be the best record.  

            If you can’t wait, there is a good team in Tampa you can become a fan of and tell them how bad they run things.

    • Aaron

      Happy to see you come around….sorry it’s on the “Realism” side….it’s really not a fun place to be, believe me. I used to drink the kool-aid, and see everything optimistically no matter what, and I absolutely hated when my brother (White Sox fan) would make fun of me for watching the games, because he saw no point in watching them lose day after day. 

      The problem is, I think we have a majority of people on here that are highly intelligent fans, and normally they’d probably leave something like this team if they kept disappointing….but the problem is, we all have an incredible amount of time invested in this garbage, that it’d almost be a waste to abandon the franchise at this time. Some guys on here have been fans for over 50 years, so “It’s a Way of Life” means a lot to them.

      It’s a disgrace that the new management group did not blow this thing up when they took over. Just look at the coaching staff. They completely revamped the staff, and got some good coaches in there, but they almost kept the same damn team on the field as the disgrace that was fielded last year.

      Yes, they had 3 changes in the rotation, and an overhaul of the pen (which didn’t need to be overhauled, incidentally), and they added Stewart, DeJesus, and LaHair to the everyday lineup and Mather and Clevenger on the bench (though both LaHair and Clevenger were with the team last year as well)….They made piss poor decisions, unfortunately, regarding who they would keep. Rather than trading or non-tendering the likes of Baker, DeWitt, Johnson, Soto, and Byrd, they kept them all, and wasted roster space with them in the process.

      Would they have a better record at this point if they started with the likes of Cardenas, Rizzo, Castillo, B. Jackson, etc.? Probably not….at least at this point, but in the long-run, they would probably win more games.

      • KevininSanDiego

        They werent going to win this no matter who was at the helm. They was nothing anyone could do to stop this team from Sucking. If this team was winning you would have to give some credit to Hendry. What would you have had them do? Sign Pujols or Fielder? Neither can pitch so, it wouldnt have helped all that much. If you wanted a quick fix, they should have keep Hendry.

        If anyone expected anything more then what the you see now. Then you were insane, this is what the major league team looks like right now. Will they get better? Yes, when Rizzo and Jackson come up in July they will take a small step in getting better.

        Here is what I believe will happen the Team will continue to be what they are now. Heading into July decissions will be made on certain players like Dempster, Garza, Marmol, and others. The team will make numerous moves some will make the team worse for this season, but will improve the team for 2 to 3 yrs down the road.

        I also dont think you should start the clock on a GM until he has at least had his first draft. Especially if that is their whole game plan they keep coming on about. You guys need some decaffee like you said its only 11 games into the season.

        • Twenty Two


    • cubs1967

      Cubs fans deserve better…….I/U deserve better for being a diehard since the early 1970’s and I’m only 44…….Theo is smart…….I expected “genius” moves…….stuff I would not thought of…….not dewitt or mather or baker or reed……..I could of done that.

      104 yrs and counting…………there is NO grace period.

    • Eric

      Scott, You have seen change.  They are playing some of the young guys.  Don’t get upset when they aren’t good.  Lahair, although he can hit, can’t field.  Barney is avg at best, both at the plate and on the field.  Clevenger, who has upside, made one of the errors.  Theo wants to get rid of Soriano, Byrd and others, but hasn’t been able to.  Plus, are we going to bring guys up from the minors just to bring them up or because they’re ready?  What will you say when they bring up the Jacksons, Rizzos and others and they play the same way these guys do?  We need to get more prospects and let them develop.  That will take time.  If we try to “quick fix” like Hendry, you can count on another 100 years.

  • Aaron

    I still strongly believe that the Cubs will finish with a team that looks close to or exactly like this at the end of this year:
    ? (acquired pitcher in trades)

    Wood (won’t trade for obvious reasons)
    L. Castillo

    C-Castillo, Clevenger
    2B-Barney, Cardenas
    SS-Castro, Valbuena
    CF-B. Jackson, Campana
    RF-Lake, Sappelt/Ridling

    That would be 17 new players. And while some of you might think that’s too far-fetched, consider this….

    Camp, Lopez, Johnson, Baker, DeWitt, and the seldom used Mather would all likely be outright release candidates if they can’t be traded. Those type of moves happen ALL the timeat the MLB level, and we’ve already seen multiple DFA’s already this year from other teams….Therefore, as I said, if they can’t trade them, they’ll just release them if they want to bring up prospects (which if they’re on pace to lose 100+games, they really have nothing to lose). Other players like Garza, Dempster, Marmol, Soto, Stewart, Soriano, Byrd, and DeJesus would likely have at least some trade value, even if it’s very little in some cases (Byrd and Soriano in particular)

    So, while I recognize that 17 new players is pretty unusual, it’s also NOT out of the realm of possibility, considering several teams in the past 10 years have done so. Granted, they didn’t do it all at once, and it was throughout the season…it still happened, and my point is that the Cubs can still do it pretty easily, and all the fans in Cubs Nation would understand….especially if they’re 20 games out of 1st in June, which looks like a very good possibility at this point. 

    It is important to note that the Cubs are 5 games out of 1st already, and they’ve only played 11 games….less than 2 weeks into the season. If we aggregate that over the course of the next month and a half, that would equal approximately 6 weeks, and at 2 1/2 games out every 2 weeks (actually more than that, as 11 is less than 14 days), you’re looking at about 20 games out by June. 

    It is also important to note that they are currently tied with the Royals, Twins, Padres, and Pirates with the fewest (3) wins in the game right now, and only one loss behind the Padres for the worst record in the league. 

    The true test for how bad the Cubs really are will be when they play the Padres and Pirates. If they lose to these teams, they’re toast….and I’m talking if they lose 2 of 3 or get swept….they’re absolutely done. 

    I think it’s time to face facts. The facts are these:
    1) The Cubs opened the season with 2 straight losses, then won 1 game against the Nationals
    2) The Cubs then opened with 3 straight losses against the Brewers, then won the final game of the series
    3) The Cubs then won the opening game of 3 against the Cardinals, then lost 2 in a row
    4) The Cubs then lost game 1 of a 3 game set with the Marlins, making it another 3 game losing streak
    5) The Cubs are just 11 games into the season, and already 5 games out of 1st, 5 games under .500 as well
    6) The Cubs 4-5 starters in Volstad and Maholm, along with the entire pen have looked awful (outside of Russell), making it EXTREMELY unlikely that the Cubs would ever string together a 3 game winning streak…If they continue their trend of losing 3 games in a row every week, then it’s absolutely imperative that they string together 3 wins in a row….again, that seems HIGHLY unlikely at this point.
    7) On most days, the Cubs offense has 3 automatic outs: Byrd, Soto, and the pitcher’s spot. Most of the time, you can throw Soriano in there as well, so that’s 4 automatic outs. 

    So, while I state all these doom and gloom facts, let me also be clear that I want this team to do well….I’m just being realistic.

    • DaCubs

      New doesn’t mean better, that team is terrible just because it is young doesn’t mean a thing.  The Cubs have one of the worst farm systems in baseball.  Why would you think they would be good major league players?  Does not make sense.  Theo is tearing it down but does not have close to enough talent to rebuild it.

  • paulcatanese

    Cortisone shot in the shoulder is one time fix for the moment and will not cure what ails Wood. He may be able to come back for a few pitches, but any stress on the shoulder will put him back where he started. I think (after many of those in my shoulder) his time on the mound will be very limited.
    All I had to do after a shot is go in the hole and make as strong a throw as I could and the pain, numbing,nausea would continue it seemed forever.
    I would certainly think that Aaron could really expand on what I just posted as he has had similar issues with his arm.
    It is not a good sign, period.
    Pitching compounds the issue, many more throws.

    • Aaron

       Never did cortisone….wish I had…

      My worst enemy was BioFreeze. It’s like Icy Hot, but way better, and I had it in a roll-on stick. I hid it from everyone. The only person on the team that knew about it, until I finally got caught, was our catcher, who had a locker next to me.

      I hid the roll-on stick in my bat bag, and in between innings, I would go over to the corner of the dugout, unbutton my shirt, and act like I was looking for seeds in my bag. I’d roll it on, and it’d last about 2-3 innings, and I’d do it all over again.

      It absolutely destroyed my arm, because I couldn’t feel anything. I have many stories, but I don’t need to go into great detail…let’s just say that painkillers (pills) and BioFreeze were very good to me (in the moment).

      I actually wish I’d known about BioFreeze for my elbow in high school…maybe I wouldn’t have missed so much time with tendonitis. All they did for me anyway was ultrasound therapy, to get my ulnar nerve to pop back in place and help with the tendonitis pain…BioFreeze could’ve done mostly the same thing…not popping the nerve back, but numbing the pain.

      • Tony_Hall

        What would you recommend that young pitchers use for their arms?  

        Biofreeze, painkillers, etc.

        • DaCubs

          If you are talking teenager, rest his arm by not throwing if he feels pain.  Otherwise condition with long toss, exercises with a 6lb sand ball to stretch out and improve flexibillty, prepractice stretching and make sure he runs and ices after every game.   Would not recommend anything to mask the pain if you have any aspirations of him pitching high school or beyond, it will catch up to him.

          • Tony_Hall

            Thanks!  We have done most of what you said, except the sand balls.  

            Getting 13/14 year olds to understand the difference between soreness and pain can be difficult.

        • Aaron

           DaCubs is right, but I would do the weighted ball training program (4, 5, and 6 oz balls) if the kid is stronger, you can go higher than that. But Tom House and others have come up with a variation on the drill where you don’t actually release the ball, and it’s supposed to protect your shoulder somehow, and if you happen to be injured…if it’s not too severe, then it’s supposed to heal your arm…don’t ask me how….some pitcher from the Mariners organization broke his elbow and did their training, and got to MLB because of it.

          I would NEVER recommend my method of BioFreeze and painkillers. If they’re really hurting, resting the arm for about 10 days is the way to go. If they’re still hurting after that, it’s time to see a doctor.

          I had the unfortunate experience of not only tearing my cuff and labrum, but also had a bone spur which was rubbing it….not fun at all. Now, I’ve learned that I could have gone the homeopathic route. Apparently there are machines now that break up the deposits for the spur, and your body reabsorbs it without invasive surgery. They also have methods for shrinking your capsule in the shoulder without surgery, and apparently it works quite well, because it restores blood flow to the area, breaks up scar tissue, and you heal very quickly.

          • Tony_Hall

            Thanks Aaron.  

            My son is about to turn 14, and doesn’t really every say his arm is sore.  

            But I have had other kids on our team, that have had issues and like most pitchers, want to keep on pitching.  

          • Aaron


            Let me know if you want an arm program for your kids and i will post on here for you

          • Tony_Hall

            I was actually going to ask you about that.  A strength and exercise program would be great.  Also, what would you recommend for pitch limits.  Day in  a row, pitches in a day, rest after how much, etc.   We play a lot of 3 game round robins, 1 day tournaments, and use a different starter each game, but some kids still end up pitching in more than one game.  Plus we sometimes do this on Saturday and then again on Sunday.  We have 6-7 pitchers, but you can still end up looking at a couple of kids the most.

        • paulcatanese

          Tony, as these were not available in the years that I played (painkillers,etc) but if it were an option then I would have chosen surgery. No one really knew about that type of injury except “you threw you’re arm out” and you were done.
          I even know players that chose novacaine before games, that really caught up to them, and the arm became virtualy useless.
          The non-surgery techniques that Aaron is talking about sound wonderful and wish they were around as well.

          • Tony_Hall

            Novacaine!  Wow, that is dedication to the team, at the expense of their arm.  

          • paulcatanese

            Not really new, but more prevalent with football players,
            that I am sure of, sad when the game comes first over all else.

    • Darrell Nugent

      Put Wood on the DL for the 15th or 16th time, he is wasting a roster spot, just like DeWitt & byrd are….time to move on.

  • paulcatanese

    Good post of an unfortunate ending Neil, takes a lot to do it every day.

    • Neil

      Thanks Paul