Baseball Prospectus Updated Cubs Win Total for Twenty-Ten

Baseball Prospectus updated their projections for the upcoming season on Tuesday. After projecting a 77-85 record for the Cubs less than a week ago, PECOTA still projects the Cubs to finish third (tied with the Milwaukee Brewers) in the National League Central but with a 79-83 record.

Baseball Prospectus admitted they made errors in the initial release of their PECOTA projections last week. The Depth Charts are playing time-weighted projections for each player, which builds up to a team projection.

As mentioned last week, PECOTA projected the Cubs to win 92 games and their third straight Central Division crown a year ago.

Here is how PECOTA sees the 2010 MLB Season playing out … after a few adjustments.

National League

East

  1. Philadelphia Phillies – 88-74
  2. Atlanta Braves – 83-79
  3. Florida Marlins – 81-81
  4. New York Mets – 79-83
  5. Washington Nationals – 76-86

Central

  1. St. Louis Cardinals – 84-78
  2. Cincinnati Reds – 82-80
  3. Chicago Cubs – 79-83
  4. Milwaukee Brewers – 79-83
  5. Houston Astros – 76-86
  6. Pittsburgh Pirates – 70-92

West

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks – 87-75
  2. Colorado Rockies – 86-76
  3. Los Angeles Dodgers – 83-79
  4. San Francisco Giants – 82-80
  5. San Diego Padres – 71-91

American League

East

  1. New York Yankees – 94-68
  2. Boston Red Sox – 92-70
  3. Tampa Bay Rays – 90-72
  4. Baltimore Orioles – 80-82
  5. Toronto Blue Jays – 72-90

Central

  1. Minnesota Twins – 83-79
  2. Chicago White Sox – 80-82
  3. Detroit Tigers – 78-84
  4. Cleveland Indians – 76-86
  5. Kansas City Royals – 75-87

West

  1. Texas Rangers – 87-75
  2. Los Angeles Angels – 80-82
  3. Oakland A’s – 80-82
  4. Seattle Mariners – 77-85

The CCO will post other projections/predictions for the 2010 season as they surface.

13 days until pitchers and catchers report to Fitch Park … One month from Thursday is the Cubs 2010 Cactus League Opener against the A’s at HoHoKam Park.