Baseball Prospectus Projects 77 Wins for Cubs in 2010

Baseball Prospectus released their projections for the Twenty-Ten season on Thursday … and on paper, it does not look good for the Cubs.

PECOTA projects a 77-85 campaign for Lou Piniella’s crew … third place in the National League Central Division.

Again, these are projections based playing time-weighted projections for each player, which builds up to a team projection.

The same system projected the Cubs to win the central in 2009 with 92 wins.

Here is how PECOTA sees the 2010 MLB Season playing out:

National League

East

  1. Philadelphia Phillies – 88-74
  2. Atlanta Braves – 85-77
  3. Washington Nationals – 82-80
  4. New York Mets – 77-85
  5. Florida Marlins – 76-86

Central

  1. St. Louis Cardinals – 89-73
  2. Cincinnati Reds – 82-80
  3. Chicago Cubs – 77-85
  4. Houston Astros – 75-87
  5. Milwaukee Brewers – 75-87
  6. Pittsburgh Pirates – 70-92

West

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers – 87-75
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks – 85-77
  3. San Francisco Giants – 81-81
  4. Colorado Rockies – 80-82
  5. San Diego Padres – 74-88

American League

East

  1. Tampa Bay Rays – 96-66
  2. Boston Red Sox – 95-67
  3. New York Yankees – 93-69
  4. Baltimore Orioles – 79-83
  5. Toronto Blue Jays – 71-91

Central

  1. Minnesota Twins – 82-80
  2. Chicago White Sox – 79-83
  3. Detroit Tigers – 79-83
  4. Cleveland Indians – 77-85
  5. Kansas City Royals – 66-96

West

  1. Oakland A’s – 87-75
  2. Seattle Mariners – 86-76
  3. Texas Rangers – 85-77
  4. Los Angeles Angels – 76-86

Quote of the Day

"Always make a total effort, even when the odds are against you." - Arnold Palmer
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