An Important Stretch for Lou Piniella's Crew

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While many will focus on the next three games with the White Sox, and rightfully so, the Cubs begin a very important stretch of games on Tuesday night. Lou Piniella's crew begins a string of 23 games in a row without a day off and between Tuesday and the All-Star break they will play 27 games in 27 days that concludes with a day-night doubleheader against the Cardinals on July 12.

The Cubs figure to be without Aramis Ramirez for a majority, if not all, of the games leading up to the Mid-Summer Classic. The Cubs are 30-30 after 60 games but the next 27 days will have a huge impact on the remainder of the season ...

Of the upcoming 23 games, 13 are at Wrigley and of the remaining 27 games leading up to the All-Star break only 10 of those games are on the road ... with seven outside of Chicago.

  • June 16 - 18 - White Sox at Wrigley
  • June 19 - 21 - Indians at Wrigley
  • June 22 - Makeup game in Atlanta
  • June 23 - 25 - Tigers in Detroit
  • June 26 - 28 - White Sox at the Cell
  • June 29 - July 1 - Pirates in Pittsburgh
  • July 2 - 5 - Brewers at Wrigley
  • July 6 - 8 - Braves at Wrigley
  • July 9 - Day off
  • July 10 - 12 - Cardinals at Wrigley with a day-night doubleheader on July 12
  • July 13 - 15 - All-Star Break

Of the teams on the Cubs' upcoming schedule only the Tigers (34-29), the Cardinals (34-30) and the Brewers (35-29) have winning records ... and both the Cardinals and Brewers play well on the road. The Cardinals are 15-15 outside of St. Louis while the Brewers are 18-15 on the road, a game better than at Miller Park (17-14).

The White Sox and the Cubs are very similar teams and one can throw the proverbial records out when the two teams square off. The Sox are 30-34 on the year, 14-16 on the road and 16-18 at U.S. Cellular.

Friday will be very interesting to say the least at Wrigley with Kerry Wood and Mark DeRosa making their return to the North Side. The Indians (29-37, 13-20 on the road) are like the Cubs and have underachieved this season but DeRosa and Wood will have a more than a chip on their shoulder. DeRosa put on a hitting clinic in Mesa against Ted Lilly in the spring and the two will face off at some point over the weekend. While the Indians' bullpen is horrible, at least they are scoring runs ... and Mark DeRosa leads the team in home runs.

The make-up game in Atlanta will be tough. The Cubs play the Indians on Sunday afternoon, fly to Atlanta for a 6:05pm C.T. first pitch then fly to Detroit to play the Tigers on Tuesday night.

The Tigers figure to be a very difficult match-up for the Cubs, depending on if Dontrelle Willis is still in Jim Leyland's rotation. The Tigers are 17-11 at home this season but the Cubs should receive a boost from either Jake Fox or Micah Hoffpauir in the lineup for the series. While the Cubs have not officially made the announcement, look for Milton Bradley to be the team's DH in Detroit and on the South Side. Fox and Hoffpauir can platoon in right and Bradley had a big season a year ago in a designated hitter's role.

The Cubs swept the three game series on the South Side in 2007 then were swept at the Cell last year. The Sox will have the advantage with Jim Thome back in the lineup and the starting pitchers will determine the series on the South Side at the end of the month. If comes down to the bullpens, the Cubs will be at a big disadvantage.

Following Interleague Play the Cubs travel to Pittsburgh to face the Pirates and there could be a letdown for the first game ... similar to what happened to the Cubs following the four-game set in Milwaukee last year. The Pirates are playing decent ball (30-33) and have the same number of wins at home as the Cubs (17-12). The Pirates always play their best against the Cubs and it will be interesting to see if Adam LaRoche and Jack Wilson are still in a Pirates' uniform on July 1.

Following the game on July 1 in Pittsburgh, the Cubs fly back to Chicago and finish out the first half at home. Some reports are optimistically predicting Aramis Ramirez could be back at some point during the Brewers' series ... but don't plan on it. Ramirez is still three to four weeks away from returning according to most reports which would put him back just after the break.

The four-game series at Wrigley against the Brewers has "make or break" written all over it, even three weeks out. The Brewers lead the division and could put enough distance between themselves and the Cubs in those four games that no matter what happens for the remainder of the summer the Cubs would not be able to catch them ... see the four-game series in Milwaukee at the end of July last year.

After the four-game series at the beginning of July, the Cubs and Brewers face off just seven more times ... all in the last three weeks of the year. The Cubs are 2-2 in their first four of the year against the Brewers with 11 left to play.

The 23-game stretch concludes with three against the Braves at Wrigley ... and this series will come down to who is starting for the Braves. The Cubs cannot beat Derek Lowe and the backend of the Braves' bullpen is one of the best in the National League (12-9 in one-run games). The Braves are a .500 team on the road (15-15) and are two under at home. The Cubs must find a way to win three of the final four games against the Braves ... and not pitch to Chipper Jones with the game on the line, or throw Jeff Francoeur fastballs.

The final four games leading up to the All-Star break could be another series that books are written about. Following the day-night doubleheader on July 12, the Cubs face the Cardinals only once more this year (a three game series in St. Louis from September 18 - 20). The Cubs have not played well against the Cardinals this season (3-6) and if Tony LaRussa realizes he could provide the knockout blow that weekend then he will do everything he can to try to make the Cubs' second half just a formality.

If the Cubs can start hitting, and that is a big if after 60 games, then they should be able to hold their own and remain in the race for the next 28 days. But it will take players like Alfonso Soriano, Geovany Soto and Milton Bradley to start producing runs instead of outs.

  • Impressive concept . I want to try it later on!Thanks!

  • Mike

    Woops, accidental post. Meant to say:



    If Soto were faster, I'd say go ahead and throw that lineup out there. At this point, I don't think it matters who hits where. It'd at least make the game a bit more interesting...if this rain ever stops.

  • SuzyS

    For tonight's game if they play...it would be fun to shake things up.

    This is fantasy...but fun.

    Line-up for tonight



    Theriot

    Soto

    Lee

    Zambrano

    Bradley

    Fontenot

    Fukodome

    Miles

    Soriano



    Theriot, Zambrano, Soriano are non- negotiable...the rest you can play with.



    Batting Soriano ninth will force him to observe the pitcher and the stuff he has

    before he takes a swing...make him think.



    Zambrano is all emotion...and talent...think of how great he'll feel when told he is hitting clean-up.



    Theriot is currently our best lead off

    option...and putting Soto in a spot where

    he just hs to get a base hit...instead of a homer should help him.



    Bradley should be embarrassed a pitcher is hitting in front of him...and might motivate him to do better.



    This is open to suggestion and put here for fun...The other thing it will accomplish is screwing with Ozzie and giving him a different look then he expects.



    Have fun guys.

  • Mike

    If soto were faster, I'd say go ahead and thr

  • JimK

    The brains' trust agrees and Neil reports the particulars, excellently. We're in a critical stretch of games. My slant a couple of days ago was that, if we are not 7 or 8 over .500 in the next 30 games, Slim and None (to paraphrase) will have left the building.



    Re. DeRo and other major moves: I'm guessing that JH doesn't spend some future on DeRo or anyone else of note unless we go about 7 and 3 in the next 10. He could be our last year's Edmonds to the Brewers or Cards or another highly likely contender elsewhere, but I suspect the "highly likely" part puts us at a disadvantage.



    Another limiting factor for us is the ownership (and related budget) issue. DeRo probably gets 2 years and $12 mil or so somewhere going ahead. It would take some understanding that we can do that to tip the decision to favorable for me. I don't think JH has any insight on budget issues going forward.



    SusyS is right about DeRo's value, and her patience is repeatedly on display. My view is that Soriano, Bradley and Dome have to step up big time now--or DeRo won't be a difference maker.

  • Aaron

    found another excellent read for you guys, even though it came from another blogger on Sun-Times, but it's an excellent analysis that I also did earlier this season about the off-season moves...here it is:



    http://www.suntimes.com/sports/blogentries/index.html?bbPostId=B4Cn11MBCXLTBDRUeOEYPQpEBzFcrPfa7ir7CzDM7uNnKbnWJ&bbParentWidgetId=B7hKffsuorcGDKIZK9SoYtK

  • SuzyS

    Aaron...Thanks for the read...I couldn't find the bloggers name and it is about 3 weeks old....Are you sure YOU didn't write it? lol.



    The blog pretty much covers the prevailing sentiment on Hendry's choices.

    For the record...in the offseason AND now...I would have preferred Abreau over Dunn or Bradley...for a SHORT term contract....The Phillies struck quick for Ibanez...too quick for Hendry to clear salary room for him.



    BUT, as I've stated before...the offseason no longer matters now...it's what we do from here on.



    BTW...I think it very appropriate that it is supposed to rain for the next 4 days...goes along with the season both Chicago teams are having.

  • Aaron

    Just FYI, the only draft pick the Cubs have signed thus far is high school ss, Wes Darvil of Canada (apparently they will let him play for the junior national team, then he'll report in July to Mesa)....



    With other teams signing multiple picks already, including the Brewers pretty much locking up their entire draft....we seem to be WAYYYYYYYY behind in the game, and that's NOT good for the development of our players, which is also why we're ranked so low in terms of prospects.

  • JEFFnOklahoma

    Thanks Aaron! Really getting excited about visiting Wrigley again for sure. Can't beat a day at Wrigley with your dad, brother & wife on Fathers Day weekend. When i got home I checked the cubs site hoping to see Fox moved again. I didnt sit close enough to the dugout to see if I even noticed him there to be honest. Samardizija sure looked early on then kinda faded. Granted it was 90 degrees and humid, hopefully fatigue didnt get him.. If your not use to Oklahoma humidity, it'' wear you out quick.

  • Aaron

    I almost forgot to include this in my last post. I thought it was funny, considering when we learned of Soriano's appearance at the WWE event, I declared that we'd say if he could rise to the occasion, and prove everyone wrong. Turns out....Soriano is why we've sucked in the postseason.....He simply CANNOT rise above any challenge. Here's his numbers since that event:





    108 plate appearances, .152 avg/.222 OBP/.263 SLG .485 OPS, 15 hits, 2 HR, 7 runs, 5 doubles, 9 walks, 31 K's



    Yup, there's our $136 million man, folks

  • cc002600

    Aaron,

    Yup, that's what you get with guys like Sorano and Dunn. Useless.



    That's why I keep telling you that Dunn is a worthless player. He's a lefthanded Soriano. I don't care how many HR's / RBI's he gets... which ususally come in blowout games against a weak middle reliever.



    worthless, worthless, worthless.

  • waldo7239117

    Jake Fox was just getting a schedule day off and Scales is trying to play more positions than just second and third. It is the minor league and they see what positions you can play.

  • JEFFnOklahoma

    Good morning all. Last night THe wife and I checked out the Iowa team. One question I have, Bobby Scales started at first, and I was hoping to see Jake Fox play & hit. Was that because Freel was rehabbing, or do you think they wanted Scales to get reps at 1st so later on get called up again and give D-LEE time off? Just a question! I'm 0-1 this week attending a ballgame, hopefully Saturday I'll be 1-1 :) We're heading to Kansas City this afternoon and we'll be in CHicago tomorrow,,hooray!!!! Take care all

  • Aaron

    Jeff,



    Have fun at the game. I'm not sure about Waldo's response, because I hadn't heard anything about a scheduled day off. Waldo, do you have a link for that story?



    I was suspicious of the move, and that explanation doesn't even make sense. The guy hasn't played hardly at all the last month being with the Cubs, then gets sent down in preparation for interleague, then sits? I don't buy it. Perhaps he was sitting out to avoid injury with a pending deal taking place...who knows?

  • SuzyS

    Aaron,

    Replying to our conversation in prior article.



    1) Thanks for the heads up on mlbrumors.

    From Yahoosports...I see the Mets are also interested in DeRo....for maybe 2 second tier prospects...but this is still

    just rumors.



    2) I agree with you and Neil about how critical this upcoming stretch is...we must stay afloat....or blow up the team.



    3)I disagree with you on the 5 games out analysis.



    5 games is less than a week's hot/cold

    streak....Too many times in baseball I've seen that type of lead erased and surpassed....anything...including injury

    can change tje standings in a flash...

    My benchmark is 10 games out.



    4)You asked if I thought we could have a run in this team...

    A)The 1rst component to a long term run

    is starting pitching...we have that.

    B)With close to or at the worst offense in MLB. we are .500....and multiple players are way below their historical

    averages...if they play to average AND

    we add a key bat...YES, we could go on a tear.



    Here's the thing...if we muddle around and wait for ARAM...we do risk losing substantial ground...which can be made up

    if we stay away from the 8-10 game behind mark....but if we do that...we still could make a run to squeak into the playoffs...BUT EXPEND ALL OUR ENERGY

    GETTING THERE...and have nothing left once in.



    DeRo NOW...would be a huge move to putting us in the playoffs.



    A)Keeps him away from Cards/Brewers/Mets.

    B)Relegates Miles to the bench or another

    team.

    C)Puts Fontenot back at 2nd...(until ARAM

    comes back...& then makes him a backup again.

    D) Will give us a consistantly good AB.



    Again, Dero is worth more to the Cubs

    right now...than any other team...but if we wait and fall too far back...he has no value at all.





  • waldo7239117

    According to Jon Heyman, Rockies closer Huston street is being heavely scouted. Could the Cubs be a team scouting him, they need a bullpen pitcher and Street is young and has a pretty good arm.



    Street is owned 4.5 million this year. Craig kenney said the contract of Derosa wont hurt the ball club and Derosa is making 5.5 million this year. So the Cubs do have money to take on Streets contract.



    Cubs trade Mitch Atkins David Patton or Heilman or 1 or 2 other minor league players for Derosa or Street.



    I read somewhere the Cubs can trade patton.



    Who would you rather go after Derosa or Street and if you could would you take both.

  • ripsnorter

    Nice writeup, Neil. You laid the facts right out on the table for all to see.



    The Pirates are almost as good as the Cubs: both have 30 wins so far.



    I expect DeRosa to smack at least one HR against the Cubs, and to be an offensive spark plug against his old club.



    Maybe Bradley is starting to turn the corner now. But L-O-U needs to get Miles out of that lineup. I can't believe how he sticks with a no-power, no-hit, very average fielder. At least Bobby Scales could drive the ball on occasion.



    You watch, that no-hit, no-power, no-field Ryan Freel will be at 3B very soon, and Fontenot/Miles will continue to stink up the joint at 2B.

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