Predicting Two Thousand and Nine

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Grab your crystal ball or Gray's Sports Almanac, volume two of course, because it is Prediction Friday at the CCO. Last year there was a three-part contest that included player and pitcher predictions, but this season the CCO is going to make it easy...one contest and one winner.

The Chicago Cubs are the favorite to win the National League Central Division for the third season in a row. Most think on paper the Cubs have one of the best teams in the league and in all of baseball. Some even think Lou Piniella's crew could represent the Senior Circuit in some group of games at the end of the season that will stretch into November this year.

But what does the Faithful think? While the Cubs prepare to open the new Yankee Stadium, let's have a little fun on the last Friday before Opening Day....

The NL Central

The mainstream media has spent the last week focusing on the Eastern Division in both leagues. Many feel those two divisions will feature the best teams in either league as well as the most competition....but that is why they play the games.

Going into last season, the NL West had gone from the worst division to the best according to many of the experts and the Central was still the 'Comedy Central' before the year began.

While the Cubs won the division a year ago, the Central ended up being the most competitive from top to bottom in the NL, and arguably, in both leagues.

Here are a few of the mainstream predictions for the NL Central:

PECOTA is predicting the Cubs to win the Central with a 95-67 record and the rest of the division to shake out as follows:

  1. Chicago Cubs - 95-67
  2. Milwaukee Brewers - 84-78
  3. St. Louis Cardinals - 82-80
  4. Cincinnati Reds - 79-83
  5. Houston Astros - 70-92
  6. Pittsburgh Pirates - 64-98

Athlon Sports:

  1. Chicago Cubs
  2. St. Louis Cardinals
  3. Houston Astros
  4. Milwaukee Brewers
  5. Cincinnati Reds
  6. Pittsburgh Pirates

With the Red Sox beating the Phillies in the World Series

The Sporting News:

  1. Chicago Cubs
  2. St. Louis Cardinals
  3. Milwaukee Brewers
  4. Cincinnati Reds
  5. Houston Astros
  6. Pittsburgh Pirates

With the Yankees beating the Cubs in the World Series

Dave Kaplan has the Cubs posting 99 wins this year...as well as the CCO's own, Shaun O'Rourke.

But this is not about the experts, it's about the Faithful. So what is your prediction for the NL Central for the upcoming season?

The Rest of Baseball

So if Lou Piniella's crew is able to win a third straight crown, which teams could the Cubs wind up facing in October?

PECOTA is predicting the other races to finish as follows:

NL East

  1. New York Mets
  2. Atlanta Braves
  3. Philadelphia Phillies
  4. Washington Nationals
  5. Florida Marlins

NL West

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks
  3. San Francisco Giants
  4. Colorado Rockies
  5. San Diego Padres

AL East

  1. New York Yankees
  2. Boston Red Sox
  3. Tampa Bay Rays
  4. Toronto Blue Jays
  5. Baltimore Orioles

AL Central

  1. Cleveland Indians
  2. Detroit Tigers
  3. Chicago White Sox
  4. Minnesota Twins
  5. Kansas City Royals

AL West

  1. Oakland A's
  2. Los Angeles Angels
  3. Seattle Mariners
  4. Texas Rangers

So here's the contest. Correctly predict the Cubs win-loss record for 2009. The winner will be donned the 'Coolest Commenter on the CCO for 2009' and will receive something via the mail that we deem cool. Last year, the winners received a book I contributed information to. Predictions can be made up to first pitch on Monday night but the time stamp on your comment must be before 6:00pm.

Now here's the twist...or tie breakers:

  • First tiebreaker - Correctly predict the finishing order of the NL Central. Not the records of all six teams, just the finishing order.
  • Second tiebreaker - Number of home runs for Kosuke Fukudome in 2009
  • Third tiebreaker - Number of home runs for Carlos Zambrano in 2009

Have fun, after all isn't that what baseball is supposed to be...FUN!

And remember, Stay Classy Cubs Fans!

Opening Day is in THREE DAYS!

  • Aaron

    Cubs (I don't even want to predict)

    Brewers

    Cardinals

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukudome: 8 HR

    Zambrano: 5 HR (2 in pinch hitting role)

  • pawpawone

    Cubs (98-64)

    Brewers

    Cardinals

    Astros

    Reds

    Pirates



    Fukudome 17

    Zambrano 7

  • Sean

    Cubs (95-67)

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukudome: 8 HR

    Zambrano: 3 HR

  • Tom

    Cubs (94-58)

    Cardinals

    Reds

    Brewers

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukudome - 8HR

    Zambrano - 2HR

  • Fully Krausened

    Cubs make it 3 in a row...

    94-68

    Chicago Cubs

    Milwaukee Brewers

    St. Louis Cardinals

    Cincinnati Reds

    Pittsburgh Pirates

    Houston Taking it in the Asstros



    Koskuke Dingers 12

    Big Z Taters 4

  • ripsnorter

    Cubs record 78-84



    NL Central

    Cards

    Reds

    Cubs

    Astros

    Brewers

    Pirates



    Fukodome HRs = 8



    Big Z home runs = 2

  • Cubbiefan07

    I'm going to go with 95 wins and 67 loses for the Cubs this year.

    NL Central:

    Cubs

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    13 Home Runs for Kosuke in 2009.



    7 for Big Z!

  • JimK

    Re Rangers' owner, Tom Hicks financial problems and those of others, I mentioned last year and will again--the owners and (especially) the players greatly excessive compensation are an unsustainable bubble that will collapse over the next year or two. Indy is now grasping with revenue shortfalls on both Lucas Oil Stadium (Colts) and Conseco Field House (Pacers). Fandom and local governments can no longer be the golden geese of subsidies. The business model of professional sports is outrageous. My guess is that brand name advertisers will pay much less for broadcast rights going forward--because brand name pricing premiums and audience numbers are shrinkng.



    Here's an eye opener on 2009 ticket prices. The Yankees average ticket leads the pack at $73 (about double last year). The Red Sox are second at $50 and the Cubs third at $48 (up 10%). At the bottom are the DBacks-$14, Pirates-$15, Braves-$17, and Rays-$18.



    The main economic issue of pro sports is similar to that of the American Auto industry. GM et.al. kept raising prices to cover substantial excesses in salaries, wages and benefits--because they knew that Americans found cars (almost) as addictive as cocaine--and would pay higher and higher prices. That changed and the American industry is bankrupt.



    Ballplayers (and/or) their unions and owners know the "addictivness" of professional sports, and they have been ripping us off for years. When the bubble bursts, pro sports will cover all of their team and facilities expenses from reduced ticket and advertising revenues. Selig won't be making $17 mil per and neither will Soriano. Players compensation will be cut 30 or 40%--and their jobs will still beat the hell out of working.



    Having done the rant that I hate the rip off predators (in pro sports, on Wall Street, in Detroit and elsewhere), I still do love the games. And so it's, forget the contract excesses (or criticise the slackers and non-performers), and bring on the Baseball Season!!



    And Neil....I thought "experts and the faithful" (above) were synonomous. Maybe you were referencing "paid" experts. Also, when do we see your entry in this year's contest? Please don't give us some sort of journalistic high ground about remaining impartial.

  • MikeT

    Cubs finish 91-71

    (Cubs beat Red Sox 4-2 to win it all)



    NL Central Standing

    Cubs

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Astros

    Reds

    Pirates



    Fukudome hits 11 homeruns



    Big Z hits 4 homeruns

  • Boseph Heyden

    Cubs finish 82-80



    Astros

    Cubs

    Cardinals

    Reds

    Brewers

    Pirates



    Fukudome-2 HR (sent to minors and/or traded by midseason)

    Zambrano-4 HR

  • nick

    Cubs 98-64



    Rest of the Central,

    Cards

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Dome - 13

    Biz Z - 7

  • MikeS

    98-64 will be the record

    Division will shake out as such

    Cubs

    Cards

    Stros

    Brew Crew

    Bucs



    Fuc will hit lucky number 13 home runs

    and Big Z hits 5.



    And for my BOLD prediction Mighty Mike Fontenot slugs 21 homeruns and knocks in 84 and we quickly forget Mark DeRosa.

  • Joe

    Cubs 103-59(Drinking the Cubbie Kool aide early this year)

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fuks-15

    Z-4

  • Jeff Lescher

    OK, here goes:



    1. Chicago Cubs - 96-66

    2. St. Louis Cardinals

    3. Milwaukee Brewers

    4. Cincinnati Reds

    5. Houston Astros

    6. Pittsburgh Pirates



    Fukodome-22 HRs

    Zambrano-5 HRs

  • survken

    Cubs 101-60 (won't need to make up that rainout in NY)



    Astros

    Brewers

    Cardinals

    Pirates

    Reds



    Fuk 11

    Z 5

  • rswartz

    Cubs(90-72)

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukudome 11 HR (one of which is inside the park)



    Zambrano 3 HR

  • Gabrielle
  • JimK

    1. Cubs (94 W-68 L)

    2. Cards

    3. Reds

    4. Brewers

    5. Astros

    6. Pirates



    Dome 6 home runs; Z 3 home runs

  • Dorasaga

    Cubs 92W-69L - With a World Series!

    (I have the feeling that bad weather will make us call off a game or two...)



    ***



    *First tiebreaker -

    1. Cubs

    2. Cardinals (90W-72L Wild Card)

    3. Reds (80+W, maybe Wild Card)

    4. Crew (70+W, lineup injury forseen)

    5. Astros (60-70W, which fits them)

    6. Bucs (whatever)



    ***



    *Second tiebreaker -

    15 dingers (OBP.360, or else trade Fuk to the Roc)



    * Third tiebreaker -

    10 homers (that's easy, yeah? keep healthy, Z!)

  • Josh Man

    Cubs 94-68



    Cincinatti

    Houston

    St. Louis

    Milwaukee

    Pittsburgh



    Kosuke 12 homeruns

    Big Z 4 homeruns



    And I'll be at opening day in Houston! Go Cubs!

  • Jon Hackler

    Cubs (96-66)



    NL Central

    -----------

    Cubs

    Cards

    Reds

    Brewers

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukudome: 14



    Zambrano: 4

  • agustin rexach

    The final record is 96-66

    Cubs

    Cardinals

    Reds

    Brewers

    Astros



    Fukudome 9hr

    BigZ 3hr

    NLCS MVP-M.Fontenot

  • Greg

    Cubs 100-62

    Reds

    Cards

    Astros

    Brewers

    Pirates



    Fukudome 14 Homeruns

    Zambrano 5 Homeruns

  • GaryLeeT

    Cubs 88-75 (pen costs them big time)

    Reds

    Cards

    Brewers

    Pirates

    Astros



    Fuke 8 Homeruns

    Zambrano 4

  • Logan

    Cubs: 92-70



    NL Central:

    Cubs

    Cards

    Reds

    Brewers

    Pirates

    Astros



    Fukudome: 11 homeruns

    Zambrano:3 homeruns

  • agustin rexach

    pirates last(they dont make the division out of spring and are going to Iowa to get at-bats)



    once again this is not a weak central

  • tim

    Cubs:94-68

    NL Central

    Cubs

    Cards

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates

    Fuker: 9 taters

    BIG Z: 5

  • Nathanael

    Cubs: 93-69



    NL Central:

    Cubs

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukodome: 8 HR

    Zambrano: 4 HR

  • Cubs (98-64)

    reds

    brewers

    Cards

    Houston

    Pirates



    The Fuk will hit 10 bombs

    Big Z will rake 4HRs with an in side the Parker included.

  • Leeeee

    Cubs 89-73



    Brewers

    Cardinals

    Reds

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fooky: 9

    Big Z: 3

  • waldo7239117

    Cubs 98-64

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Astros

    Reds

    Pirates



    Kosuke 9 home runs

    Zambrano 4 home runs

  • Jim C (Tinley Park)

    My guess that the prize will be an autograph picture of Neil, Brian and Shaun. lol



    Cubs 91-71

    Reds

    Cardinals

    Brewers

    Astros

    Pirates



    Fukudome will hit 11 HR's

    Zambrano will hit 4 HR's

  • Bo

    Cubs 90-72

    Cards

    Reds

    Brewers

    Astros

    Pirates

    Fukodome-13

    Zambrano-4

  • Rodney

    Cubs 93-69

    Cards

    Reds

    Brewers

    Pirates

    Astros

    Dome 12

    ZBro 3

  • Joe S. (San Diego)

    Chicago Cubs 95-67



    followed by:

    Milwaukee Brewers

    Cincinatti Reds

    St Louis Cardinals

    Pittsburgh Pirates

    Houston Astros



    Fukudome: 7 HR

    Zambrano: 3 HR

  • 09shine

    i'm optimistic



    Cubs (101-61)

    St. Louis

    Milwaukee

    Houston

    Cincinnati

    Pittsburgh



    Fukudome: 12 HR

    Zambrano: 5 HR

  • Matt Haggard

    Agustin, is this really the way you want to lose you're coolest commenter tag?



    As for the predictions:



    The Cubs are going to be: 92-70



    They will finish above (in order):



    St. Louis

    Houston

    Cincinnati

    Milwaukee

    Pittsburgh



    The F-Bomb (Kosuke) will drop 16 dingers in 2009.



    And lastly, Z will hit one home run. An opening day go-ahead shot that is the eventual game-winner.



    Z will let his arm do the rest this year.



    Also, head over to the community blog. I want everyone's input on nicknames!

  • agustin rexach

    Matt...dude, being cool is soooo cool!



    ;-] lol

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