Talkin' Cubs Live - Cubs vs. Diamondbacks - 10/03/07

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Game One - National League Division Series
Cubs (85-77) vs. Diamondbacks (90-72) - Best of Five
Game Time - 9:00pm C.T. TBS, WGN Radio, XM Radio Channel 174/184/188
Location - Chase Field, Phoenix

Carlos Zambrano (18-13, 3.95/1.33) vs. Brandon Webb (18-10, 3.01/1.19)

Welcome to baseball's second season.... After 162 games, Lou Piniella's crew opens the Best of Five, National League Division Series in the desert tonight against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks had the best record in the National League during the regular season and took 4-of-6 from the Cubs. The pitching match-ups will be a big key in this series. The Diamondbacks have not seen Carlos Zambrano since 2005 and the Cubs did not face Livan Hernandez this year. The D'Backs have not faced a Cubs lineup at full strength the year either. In the series at Wrigley at the end of July, Derrek Lee was serving his 5-game suspension. At the end of August when the two teams faced off at Chase Field, the Cubs were without Alfonso Soriano.

Two of the better pitchers in the league will face off in the opener, it is a battle of 18-game winners. Brandon Webb will give the Cubs' offense all they can handle, but for the Cubs, it all starts with Carlos Zambrano....in the post-season.

While the Cubs won the Central Division, some think by default, that was last weekend and they must get back down to business today. The starters looked good on Sunday in their tune-up against the Reds' Homer Bailey, but Bailey is not the current NL Cy Young Award winner. The Cubs must relax tonight and take what Brandon Webb gives them. Webb will keep the ball down with his infamous sinker, so expect Lou Piniella to use the hit and run, early and often to keep out of the double play. The Cubs must take advantage of as many scoring opportunities as they can, the D'Backs have a great bullpen and a comeback will be difficult to manage against Bob Melvin's relief corps.

Carlos Zambrano has pitched extremely well on the road this year. He is 12-4 away from Wrigley with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Zambrano is coming off an impressive end to the season. He was 4-2 in 6 starts in September with a 3.44 ERA. However, Zambrano was 2-0 in his last 2 starts with a 0.00 ERA....13 innings of 9-hit, shutout ball.

Zambrano is 1-2 in 4 career starts against the D'Backs with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. But, as mentioned, Zambrano has not faced the D'Backs since Opening Day 2005. Zambrano left in the 5th inning with 2 outs (remember the ejection and Glendon Rusch took over) and gave up 3 runs on 7 hits with 8 strikeouts and 4 walks. All 4 career starts Zambrano has against the D'Backs has come at Chase Field.

Brandon Webb finished 2nd in the NL in ERA and tied with Zambrano for 2nd in the league in wins. After a nearly perfect August (4-1 in 5 starts with a 1.83 ERA, only 8 earned runs in 39 1/3 innings) and a string of 5 starts (July 25th-August 17th) that he did not allow a run (3 complete game shutouts), Webb came back down to earth a little bit in September. Webb is 4-1 in his last 6 starts with a 3.89 ERA.

Webb is 4-1 in 7 career starts against the Cubs with a 2.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. One of Webb's 10 losses this season came at the hand of the Cubs. Jason Marquis out pitched Webb at Wrigley on July 20th. Webb allowed 3 runs, 2 earned, on 5 hits in 7 innings with 4 strikeouts and 1 walk....his only career loss to the Cubs came this year.

Webb is 8-5 in 16 starts this year at Chase Field with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP.

The D'Backs are expected to start former Cub, Augie Ojeda at 2nd base.

The Cubs (expected) Game One Lineup:

  • Alfonso Soriano - LF
  • Ryan Theriot - SS
  • Derrek Lee - 1B
  • Cliff Floyd - RF
  • Aramis Ramirez - 3B
  • Mark DeRosa - 2B
  • Jacque Jones - CF
  • Geovany Soto - C
  • Carlos Zambrano - P

Let's Talk Cubs Baseball in October....

  • ben

    we're gonna be ok guys. positive thinking, marmol made one bad pitch...then the walk to snyder was the biggest play of the game for me. walks always come back to score, always...once youre 2 down, Valverde is tough...we gotta jump early on teams, and hold a lead. we're gonna be fired for tomorro after all these missed oppurtunities tonite

  • Matt Haggard

    Lets go after Davis tomorrow I reckon.

  • Curt (Dubuque)

    I still haven't pulled out the stinger from '03. It's still pumping it's horrible venom into me.

  • baron

    here is a telling fact..



    AZ has given up 3 walks, yet thrown only 97 pitches combined in 8 innings



    Cubs have given up 2 walks, but 114 pitches in 7 innings



    Which is the patient lineup -- doh!!

  • baron

    I can't tell which team has the experienced lineup here... Our shortcomings are becoming so apparent, its embarrasing....Webb may be good, but 1 run in 8 innings is a woeful performance against anyone...



    The only thing they scored is where they let Webb give up 2 walks... our hitters lack brains...

  • Matt Haggard

    No plate discipline..

  • Matt Haggard

    Not to mention Game 1 is more important than a would be game 4 in this short series.

  • Trevor

    85 pitches is fairly low to take out your ace, especially a horse like Z.



    This doesn't look good guys. Hope the offense wakes up.

  • Matt Haggard

    I realize that, but his count was not that high. It was a bad move, and Im not just saying that in hindsight.

  • Scott

    Matt,



    Has to be pitch count. Lou knows there's a real possibility that Carlos is going to have to pitch Game 4......DAMN HOME RUN......so he needs to have a decent arm.

  • Matt Haggard

    Dunno why Z had to come out...

  • Lows

    Awe man....Mark Who??....These damn announcers and their jinx bullshit

  • Scott

    We've been hitting the ball so hard it seems, just at'em balls. We're due for a long one!

  • Scott

    Trevor, I agree...it's Stockton looking for an angle. He's about the worst play-by-play guy ever....have you heard him butcher players and coach's names? It's ridiculous...I mean do some frigging homework fool, it's the playoffs!



    We're going to win this game guys, I guarantee it!

  • Neil

    Trevor, there was a report in the Trib this morning about Soriano and his leg. Soriano said the leg is 100% but he remembers what happened and will be cautious.



    I was surprised to hear Stockton bring that up as well but they have missed a couple of other things tonight as well.....

  • Trevor

    What's all this talk about Soriano hobbling? Is he anymore hurt than he has been the last 12 games or are the announcers just looking for a storyline here?

  • Lows

    Would have liked to see Z mash a bomb there...wouldnt that have been great!

  • Matt Haggard

    Hes a riot! Woohoo!

  • Lows

    Once again...great timing by THE RIOT

  • baron

    WHOOOO -- TAKE FRIGGING PITCHES BABBY!!!





    cmonnnnn!!

  • Trevor

    Please Theriot!!!! I am seriously on my knees in front of the T.V. right now. Just one hit Theriot, right now.

  • Neil

    Trevor, well said.



    Great play by DeRosa in the 5th.

  • Trevor

    We just need to relax and not be so tense at the plate. Remember we are just one swing away from tying this game up right now still.

  • Jim (Tinley Park)

    I got a bad feeling about this game.

    We can't touch Weeb.

  • baron

    Webb has 58 pitches in 5 innings with 39 strikes and 19 balls.... 11.6 pitches per inning... wow



    what is friggin going on here!!!

  • baron

    JJ -- hack at that first pitch....



    Our reliance on Soriano is getting badly exposed here.... don't care who is pitching... swinging at the first pitch is only a good idea if you are Vlad Guerrero...

  • Matt Haggard

    Wasted oppurtunity there...Arizona wont give up to many chances...

  • Matt Haggard

    Z has to bunt there..

  • Neil

    Matt, I am with you on the commercial and the run. Baron, I am not defending them, 1st pitch swinging 'kills' me, but Webb is on tonight.

  • Matt Haggard

    Great commercial, haha. Too great.

  • Matt Haggard

    Im really hoping one wont be enough. Z, keep your cool.

  • baron

    Zambrano - 41 pitches in 3 innings.



    Webb - 49 pitches in 4 innings... I thought Arizona was the young lineup. We are supposed to have "veteran" hitters who know how to make the pitcher work... ... He will have under 100 pitches in 9 innings at this rate...

  • baron

    That was pitiful... D. Lee has lasted 6 pitches in 2 AB... Soriano has 2 Ks....



    remember... 2 years ago... Webb lead the NL in walks too!!!

  • Matt Haggard

    Pitchers best friend...DOnt like Z's pitch count so far. The DP helped.

  • baron

    Theriot needs to realize he is no Guerrero or Soriano -- he is a gutsy lead-off type guy that needs to see pitches... swinging at the first pitch by him is really stupid.

  • Neil

    Webb looks like he has great control tonight.

  • Trevor

    I'm betting that the second time through the lineup will be better for the offense. Just need to get a few hits to shake away the nerves.

  • Jimbo

    I dont know about anyone else, but it seems like the clock is just crawling towards first pitch. BTW, anyone seen that witch from earlier in the season lately? She is about due here........

  • baron

    point to note -- beckett threw 1st pitch strikes to 15 straight hitters at one point tonight....



    value of strikes baby! just call me Vitale!

  • baron

    Baron in da house!! check yourself before you wreck yourself.....



    here we go baby!!!

  • Neil

    Tonight's lineup...Matt you are right.



    Soriano - LF

    Jones - CF

    Lee - 1B

    Ramirez - 3B

    Floyd - RF

    DeRosa - 2B

    Soto - C

    Theriot - SS

    Zambrano - P

  • Jim (Tinley Park)

    My friend Rodrigo called me from Chase Field. He said both Soriano and D.Lee put on an awesome batting practice display. He also said that Cub Nation was out in full force. That is what I LOVE to see the NATION REPRESENTING!

  • Matt Haggard

    That was courtesy of Mike Murphy on WSCR. I think I would rather have Floyd cleanup, but we'll see.

  • Matt Haggard

    Lineup Change:


    Soriano

    Jones

    Lee

    Ramirez

    Floyd

    Derosa

    Theriot Zambrano


    Interesting...

  • Matt Haggard

    Is Ed Lynch still part of the organization at all? Just curious? Listening to The Score, and theyre talkin about him.

  • Neil

    Yea Matt, maybe....just a little bit.

  • Chad

    Go Cubs Go!!!

  • Matt Haggard

    Heres to Soriano being our Devin Hester. In the way Hester returns opening kickoffs for a touchdown (Instant Offense) lets hope Soriano starts the magic here, Go Cubs!



    Is it faur to say this is the most important game in CCO history yet?

  • Matt Haggard

    YES! ITS HERE!!! GO CUBS!

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