Losing with Jim and Lou

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The air was fresh and crisp, the mood was light and cheerful, and the future was bright and clear: Jim Hendry had just announced the hiring of "Sweet" Lou Piniella as the fine new manager of the Chicago Cubs. Jim Hendry had swapped his "Trader Jim" cap for his shiny new "Jim Spendry" cap, and was sparing no expense in building an awesome roster for his new manager. For his part, Lou Piniella was bringing the energy and accountability that the Cubs Faithful had so eagerly desired after enduring the painful years of the Dusty Era.

So it was truly a perfect storm! We saw a mix of high-priced free agents (Soriano & Lilly), retention of our top players (Ramirez and Zambrano), and a manager that was bringing a winning attitude to the North Side. So clearly when I open my paper (ok....when I look online) and see the current baseball standings, our beloved Cubbies should be several games above .500, and well on their way to a division title, right? Unfortunately....you know better.

Mistake #1 - Jim is a Dreamer....

You don't spend $100,000 on a sports car and then put an AM/FM radio in it. If you are going to invest $300 million in contracts, don't start the year off with a career backup penciled in as your starting 2B, don't gamble that your free agent 2B-turned-LF will be able to play an effective CF, and don't bet a 2-pack of towels that your 5th starter spot will be filled by historical injury risks.

I will never understand Hendry's insistence on "finding a diamond in the rough" versus just paying for an established veteran. Would it have been so bad to have stuck with Grudzielanek the past few years, at 2B, for example? Did we really need to endure the Todd Walker, Jerry Hairston, Neifi Perez, Tony Womack, and Mark DeRosa starting experiments?

The same goes for Michael "I have passion but no brains or defensive aptitude" Barrett. Sure, he has won a Silver Slugger award, but last time I checked, there were a number of quality offensive catchers in the game now (just ask the Dodgers, Twins, Indians, Tigers, etc....). Barrett wouldn't be noticed if he was a catcher in the AL, so the Silver Slugger awards are taken with a grain of salt, in my opinion. This was a classic example of Hendry deciding that he, and his scouts, "saw something" in a mediocre player, and it is now 4 years later, and every off-season I hear the same thing: Barrett has really worked hard on his defense, and should be much-improved this year....yet it never materializes.

While St. Louis goes and gets established grinders like David Eckstein, we get Cesar Izturis and Ronny Cedeno. Ryan Theriot may or may not pan out for a whole year (and I do like the player) but he is also largely unproven at the big league level. When Houston goes out and grabs Cub-killer Carlos Lee, Hendry proceeds to create a confusing logjam of corner outfielders, by acquiring Cliff Floyd, but not trading Jacque Jones.

Don't even get me started on the Juan Pierre deal. In my opinion, he should still be playing CF for the Cubs, and instead, we have Jacque Jones or Angel Pagan. Huh? How are all those pitchers working out for Florida by the way? What a horrible trade for the Cubs that was.

Mistake #2 - Lou's got no Clue....

Exactly how many Cub lineups does it take to screw in a light bulb? Apparently the final answer will be something like 67, at the rate Lou is cranking out new ideas on his roster sheet. I don't care what sport you play, or what industry you work in: you get better with consistent experience on the job. This unbelievably simple fact seems to be eluding the grasp of Mr. Piniella, as he appears to be going out of his way to show he is trying to fix things, or to show he is smart and can make a difference, when this is actually one area where the less he does, the better off the club will be. Just commit to a group of starters, and let them play for a month....simple as that!

You are not handing out job security by doing this....everyone can still be on notice that if they don't produce, they will potentially lose their starting job, but at least give them a sense of consistency and continuity by allowing them to focus on their job, day in and day out, without wondering whether they will be in the lineup the next day if they strike out during their current at-bat. This type of musical chairs approach to managing has to be particularly damaging to the confidence of the newer players....namely Murton, DeRosa, Izturis, and Theriot. How any of them are supposed to establish any level of consistency, playing one day, but not the next, is beyond comprehension.

When a player is hurt, we often hear that they will need a few days to get the rust off, upon their return from the DL, etc.... Why is that? Because the more you play, the better you play! We have already wasted time messing around with Felix Pie this year, when we should have left him alone in AAA, or fully committed to him in CF for a month minimum. Instead, he wasted time sitting on the bench....completely nonsensical.

I like the fact that Lou is trying to hold guys accountable, especially in the bullpen, but he isn't being consistent in his approach to the batting lineup and the bullpen. The more Scott Eyre stinks up the place, the more he plays him the next day, it seems. Yet if Murton goes 0-4, then you just know that Jones or Floyd will be starting in RF the next day. Why? I agree that you need Eyre to figure things out, and I don't have a problem with Lou trotting him and Howry out over and over, despite their poor performances....so why not show the same level of faith by putting out a consistent lineup for a month or so?

Give me June, or Give me Death!

I have to tell you, CCO Readers....we need this month of June to produce a winning record, or a turnaround is going to get extremely difficult. Right now, the Cheese Curds are folding as I predicted, but just because everyone in our division is horrible, doesn't mean that the Cubs don't have to take the reigns and prove they are better than the rest!

So I am asking....nay....begging Lou and Jim to set things straight.

Jim: unload Jacque Jones for anything, and throw Wade Miller out with the bath water as well. While you are tinkering around, see if there are any better middle infielders, or defensive catchers, to be had in a trade. Maybe Oakland will let go of Jason Kendall for some of our pitching prospects along with Barrett?

Lou: Give us a month of peace....just one month of consistent lineups. And whatever you do, don't give a guy a "planned" day off, when you have just lost a couple games in a row. This is baseball....grown men, and alleged athletes, that catch and throw balls and swing a bat and run occasionally....they can handle playing an extra day if the win is needed badly enough! Feel free to raise hell, get kicked out of games, throw tirades....whatever you want. Just put out a consistent lineup, please!

Final Thoughts....

I am exhausted CCO Readers. The Cubs owe me, and you, and all the Cubs Faithful a nice string of victories. Our hearts and sanity demand such a streak. The rotation has been largely solid, and Marshall looks like a good 5th starter so far. I still have faith that the law of averages will kick in for the bullpen, and the law of averages will also kick in for our offense, provided the opportunities come consistently for 8 batters, each and every game. Until next time, stop looking at the standings, and start looking at management, let's get this thing on track, and let's go Cubs!

  • Steve

    Jeff in OK, I agree with you on the Barrett thing. His bat and passion probably blinded me some. I knew he wasn't a great defensive catcher, but I always gave him the benefit of the doubt. Now that he's not hitting it become even more glaring, that he isn't good behind the plate. I still like Mikey, but it wouldn't break my heart to see him get traded in the right deal.



    Dorasaga, I'm with you about Lou. I haven't had a problem with most of what he's been doing. He is as frustrated as all of us and is just trying to make something happen. However the time for tinkering with the lineup is over. Its time to have something consistent out there.



    Obviously, the biggest problem with this team has been the bullpen. Going into this season, I along with many others thought that the bullpen was going to be one of our strong suits. Howry seems to be slowly coming around. His numbers haven't shown it yet, but he looks as if he's had more confidence lately. Eyre is just a mess. He's giving up at least one run in every appearance and looks scared every second he's on the mound. Dempster is alright when he gets consistent work and even Ohman has been decent lately. If Marmol, Guzman, and Wuertz (minus is last outing) can keep up their efforts lately and Howry returns to form, we should be in decent shape. At least I hope so.



    CL - Dempster

    SU - Marmol

    MR - Howry

    MR - Ohman

    MR - Wuertz

    LR - Guzman



    Trade or Release Eyre



    This should be the pen's alignment for now. Ride Marmol's hot hand until Howry gets it back. If the pen starts getting thin, bring Cotts or Cherry back up. What do you guys think?

  • Dorasaga

    To Jason B. from AZ:



    If Piniella listens to you and executes every baseball strategy that you suggested, then he'll become, believe it or not, Dusty Baker, again! And I doubt this is what you want.



    Lou is doing everything right. He is not a typical old-school manager that most Cubs fans are used to. He'll analyze his players' stats and play them situational, especially with batting.



    Before the season started, baseball scientists had already run their programs and told us that Cubs will get 4-5 runs per game, and I told you, we do (4.6 few days ago when I calculated).



    The Cubs is a run-productive team. Even American League's most productive team, Red Sox, is only 5.38 runs per game this season so far. The Brewers has 4.5, the Mets 5.08 -- these are all division leaders.



    The problem is our bullpen. You fix that problem, then the Cubs is contending World Series.



    Frankly, I'm really tired of reading all these ranting on Lou. He's not going to change his baseball philosophy and managerial style. Dodger's Little is a moron, but he's still leading his team to a 0.585 WPCT (win percentage). By the way, Juan Pierre is a joke. Please find another option to play CF.



    I'm going to watch an Iowa game next week. I hope to see some of you guys there! Have fun and stay sharp, Cubs Faithfuls!

  • jeff n oklahoma

    Jason, I agree about the matching up with Jones and Izzy(talking about DeRosa) He is for sure alot better than Nefi or Walker which isnt saying much.



    For some reason I've never had a problem with Barrett until now. Maybe you guys are opening up my eyes, but as of right now I wouldnt mind one bit Blanco playing everyday batting 8th.



    If our team played like crap, our high school made us run sprints. I'd pay to watch Lou make grown men run sprints after their crappy hitting and pitching.

    haha Wow I just smile thinking of that day!

  • Zip

    Wow! What an incredible thread! This is the best reading in months; and, it comes after the worst game in years. Thanks! I, especially, enjoyed Jason, Brian, and Jeff postings...I agree with some and am now thinking about all.



    BTW....is this guy Lou Baker or Dusty Piniella? With the veterans who stink....

  • Jim (Tinley Park)

    Jason:



    Last night during the game I had a feeling that the CCO was going to do article about what you just wrote. Plain and simple, this team just doesn't get the job done. Unlike last year's slop, this team has talent. With no trades on the horizon my everyday lineup would be:



    1 Theriot SS

    2 Soriano LF

    3 Lee 1b

    4 Floyd/MurtonRF

    5 Ramirez 3B

    6 Pie CF

    7 Barrett C

    8 DeRosa 2b



    Jones s/b be waived, I know it is a lot of money wasted but this guy has maybe 1 all around decent game out of 15. Pie needs to be brought up, so what if he hits .250. He is our best defender and he can't hit any worse that Jones, plus, he is our future. Floyd and Murton need to platoon until one of them becomes a clear cut favorite. With Jones gone, it would be easier to split playing time into a lefty/righty match up. Pagan is fine as a back up.

    I am fine with DeRosa at 2b but I admit I would love to see Eric Patterson one day flourish. For the most part, the starting pitching has been good.

    The bullpen for the most part blows dogs!!! Someone has to step up and get outs.

  • Jason B. from AZ

    Jeff,

    Tell us how you really feel...lol.



    Just to clarify...I have never said anything bad about Marquis so far. I think he has been much better than anyone could have hoped. I still expect nothing more than a .500 record from him, and I think that is fair given his contract in today's market. My only issue with signing Marquis is that we are hesitating on signing Zambrano, who historically has proven that he is worth much more than Marquis or Lilly...so why we haven't locked him up is beyond me.

  • Jeff in AZ

    J.B. -



    My thoughts on your article:



    -I can't agree with you more about the line-up changes. It is the equivelant to if you worked at a grocery store and one day they made you cashier, the next day you stocked, the next day you had to cut meat in the deli, all the while one day you work the early shift, the next day the swing shift, and the next day the night shift. I don't work in a grocery store, but my point is with all the constant changing, you would have a hard time getting good at one thing or used to working at a certain time. i.e Jacuque Jones playing center and batting 8 th one day and Right field batting 5th the next.



    -I disagree about Marquis, he has 5 of our 22 wins.He is ranked 10th in the national league in ERA at 2.93. He as given us over 70 innings in 11 starts, and he has not given up more than 5 runs in any of his starts.



    -Derosa was promised the starting second base job as part of his 11 million dollar deal, and that has not happened with consistancy. Granted, Theriot has come on strong, but Theriot should be starting at shortstop every game and DeRosa should be given a fair shake at second.



    -I agree that Soriano has struggled, and I am not impressed thus far. BUT, he is hittin .293,his OBP is .341.. Juan Pierre is hitting .281, OBP .312. Pierre has 17 stolen bases to Soriano's 8, but Alfonso has 16 doubles to Pierre's 8. I know Soriano cost more, but we all know he is underachieving right now. He is the best chance we have in the leadoff spot right now. For all of you"Theriot" lovers, his Batting Avg. is .274, OBP .334, 7 stolen bases, 7 doubles all below Soriano's numbers. If Soriano would take a few more walks, I think he'll do just fine in the leadoff spot.



    -Better that Jim planned on the 5th spot for an injured starter, rather than 3,4, and 5 like last year.



    -I can't agree with you more about Barrett. Even if his average was around .275 - .300, he calls a horrible game, has a difficult time throwing from home to second, does not block the ball in the dirt, and now we can add mental base running mistakes. I'll take a smart minded defensive catcher like Blanco any day over Barrett. Trade him.



    -Hendry had no reason to sign Floyd unless he was going to part with Jones or Murton.



    -I agree with you about Pie, what in the hell was that 3 weeks all about?



    -Agreed, the Cubs owe us all a hell of a lot more than this. Enough is Enough!!! It has been a circus at Clark and Addison since Game 6 of the 2003 NLCS. We deserve good, sound, fundamental baseball. We deserve, effort from the 1st inning to the 9the inning. We deserve Lou Pinellas beating down a gatorade jug with a baseball bat and having the team do baserunning drills on their precious day off! I'm tired of crappy situational hitting, crapy bullpen pitching, crappy decsions on the basepaths, and I'm tired of tipping my F&*king hat to pitchers like Mitre and Kim. Lets get it done or clean house, and I'm talking about starting with Hendry and McDonough! Evern though I didn't agree with everything you said Jason, I can apperciate your passion and anger as I feel the same way!

  • Jason B. from AZ

    Gene,

    Here is a little "Old Man River" for all of us weary Cubs Faithful:

    "I gets weary, and sick of trying

    Im tired of livin, but Im scared of dyin

    But ol man river, he just keeps rolin along"



    Steve,

    I am a big fan of the law of averages, and I also fear that we may have squandered an unexpectedly good run from Lilly and Marquis to start the season. Yes, Big Z should pick up his game, but Lilly and Marquis should also return to career numbers, and reasonable expectations.



    nick,

    For Pie to come up, Hendry will have to feel desperate, as the Cubs brass doesn't always employ commonsense...



    Gramps,

    Couldn't agree more...we have 3 proven power hitters in Soriano, Lee, and Ramirez. What we need are contact hitters to fill out the lineup, and high-OBP guys. What happened to Lou preaching OBP and saying that our guys would consistently work deep into counts? Seems like we are back to swinging at the first pitch a lot lately.



    Ryan,

    I agree that there is no advantage to a large-payroll team, like the Cubs, to stick with a guy that is underperforming, regardless if he is under contract and you are worried it will "look bad" if he is not playing, or is cut for nothing. If Jones was gone tomorrow, we improve simply because regular at-bats will be given to two players that are better, imo (Murton/Floyd) and because it should force up Pie to stay.



    Austin,

    If the Cubs don't finish strong, you may get your wish about Hendry going...I would think the new owner would likely bring in "his guys" anyway, but the new owner would have even less reason to keep Hendry given the track record since late 2004.



    Hey Brian,

    I still sing the praises for the Lilly/Soriano signings, but I always thought the DeRosa signing, as a STARTER, made no sense. Marquis was questionable, but only because I felt like Hendry would have been better off focusing early on a Zambrano extension. The biggest elephant in the room should arrive in late August, if Big Z is still unsigned...say hello to the Yankees in that case.



    Jeff,

    I can live with DeRosa, but not paired with Izturis and Jones/Pagan in CF. That makes our potentially good lineup mediocre. I like Theriot, and DeRosa has kept a good OBP at least. Bring up Pie for CF, and either teach Barrett how to call a game (or have Piniella call the pitches for him!) or teach Blanco how to hit, so that our catcher position is more productive as well.

  • Jeff from oklahoma

    Jason- nicely done.



    I know everyone has their own opinions on how to fix things and who needs to go or who is costing us wins.



    DeRosa- yes,career backup player but he is in no means hurting or helping the team. If he didn't get to that quick start think where we would we be? Jason, I wish we had Grud's back too.



    Marquis- 5-2 and i hear people saying we shouldnt had signed him. Seriously??? He is not an ace or our saviour but by no means was he a bad sign.



    Just look at our pitching staff, if they dont pitch a complete game shutout right now until our offense gets going, there is a chance we wont win. Our pitchers are then trying to finesse their pitches around the corners and gets behind 2-0,3-1 and throws fastball down the middle.



    Jones,Izzy for sure goners!! To me only, our biggest blunder this offseason was not finding more bullpen help. Swapping Cotts for Armasda or however you spell wasn't much.

  • Brian

    Well, by saying what I am about to say, I am probably going to get torn up, but here goes...



    We were singing the praises of The Hendry when he signed Soriano and Lilly. If he had not signed one or both, we would have complained about a lack of effort.



    True, most were against the Marquis signing, but we would be even worse without him. He has had one bad outing and should be 7/8 - 2 right now.



    I completely agree with everyone about JJ. It was a bad signing 18 months ago and remains a bad signing. Floyd was a nice thought, but Murton needs to play. Pagan is a stopgap, but it time to bring up Pie.



    Theriot

    Soriano

    Lee

    Ramirez

    Barrett

    DeRosa

    Murton

    Pie



    There is your lineup, an everyday lineup. Soriano seems more open to moving down than he was before so maybe we try that. But as Jason used the "bath water quote" it is time to get rid of JJ, Wade and Cesar.



    This year is not over and only because the NL Central might just be the worst division in baseball history, who knows what will happen, the Astros have lost 10 in a row. The Pirates are in 2nd place, so we will see.



    In the end, all I am pointing out is that hindsight is 20/20. I, myself, cannot sit here are tear apart Jim Hendry after I lauded his efforts last offseason. And Zambrano would have been signed had the Tribune Company not sold out.



    Four months to go so pull the harness down over your chest, strap the seatbelt across your lap and just hope you do not puke during the loop to loop, because we all know I certainly puked last night.

  • Austin

    Hendry needs to go.



    Jones hit .249 the year before we signed him...for 3 years!



    Marquis was the worst starting pitcher in the NL last year...3 years...21 million.



    DeRosa...career backup



    We were going hard after Ted Lilly and GIL MECHE.



    8 years? 136 Million?



    All that, yet he couldn't sign Zambrano...unbelievable.



    We need to make better decisions in the front office and this franchise will turn around, we can keep making these mistakes...

  • Ryan R

    To come home last night and watch that game after a 12 hour day at work, was not exactly relaxing. But like watching a car wreck happen on the interstate, no matter how bad it gets, you just can't look away.



    I wonder if the rumors are true about Hendry not being able to move any players whose contracts exstend beyond '07 are true. I can't see how this is true, because if you can make moves to improve the team, wouldn't that make any potential sale price higher. I mean a playoff team is worth more than 3rd in the Central right? Maybe the Tribune company is just trying to get one last screw on the fans, or maybe they feal the Cubs are worth enough on their own.



    How bad is Jones going to get before they dump the guy? Look, I haven't really harped on the guy too much because I'm not an MLB player and I have no real idea what goes on other than what I see on TV. I could live with the guy batting .285, 25 HRs, 85 RBI's. Those are respectable numbers, especially for a guy that will probably bat 6 or lower in the lineup. I can't live with him batting .247, 1 HR, 16 RBIs a 1/4 of the way through the season. As I was watching him last night the guy has a huge gap in his swing. I'm trying to think back to the last couple of weeks, and I'm thinking the line on him has to be to pitch him low and away because he's chopping everything on the ground to the right side. Its almost comical how much he's topping the ball.



    As for the rest of the team, Len and Bob were right last night. I think the team is really feeling the pressure and playing really tight. You can see it in their swings when they get runners on. Everybody on the team is playing way below their potential.



    If I was Lou, I would tell the whole team to stay a mile way from Wrigley today on the off day. Don't watch baseball, or even think baseball, under threat of fine. Do what ever you need to do to clear your head. Come back Friday and show up to play to resurect the season.

  • Gramps

    Good article Jason!



    I was sitting and thinking about the Cubs after the last out of that debacle last night. I posted a comment and would like to add something else. Right now we have (like I like to say) 1 sparkplug on the team, Theriot. We need more players to get on base. I was watching the Twins the other day and was amazed at their on base percentages. It is nice to have the big boppers in your lineup but we know guys like Lee, Ramirez and Soriano can hit it out with either the wind blowing in or out. We need people on base. Signing guys like Jones, Floyd and DeRosa just does not make sense to me. Jones comes from the Twins system but he has quickly lost the art of getting on base probably from watching how this team operates. We have developed 3 starting pitchers from our minor league system. I think it is time to bring up Pie, Fontenot, Patterson, et al. If we were to release Jones, Floyd (who I like very much, but see no future for the Cubs with him) and Izturis, what do we lose? We would have to pay them is it. It would not cost us anything but their salaries. I think the spending last winter was foolish for the most part. We already are paying the players (minor leaguers) already. In my opinion, we are lacking that spark and speed that young players have. I admire teams like the Marlins and Twins who seem to be doing it the right way.



    I have been a fan for so long and will continue to be a fan. Thanks for having a website like this for all of us Cub fans to vent our feelings.

  • nick

    I remember back in early spring when they were talking about Pie, and Hendry made a comment we'll see if he is still hitting like this in June, if he is we can't ignore it (it was something along those lines) Well guess what Hendry, it is June starting tomorrow, and to my knowledge guess who is still tearing up AAA. My god Bring him up, put him in center and let em play. Please NO more Jones.

  • Steve

    Very good article Jason. All of the Faithful are extremely frustrated right now and all we are looking for is a little consistancy. This group of starting pitchers isn't going to keep up these performances. Zambrano will get better, but at least Lilly and Marquis will probably start to slip. They'll keep you in the game, but they won't be lights out like they have been thus far. What does the offense need? Clutch hits, clutch hits, and more clutch hits. We get plenty of base runners and never drive them in. I know I'm pointing out the elephant in the room, but these guys need to look in the mirror and make something happen.



    Honestly, I thought that this team would need a year or two to gel under Lou. However, I thought they'd at least be over .500 at this point and showing some potential. Changes need to be made and fast.



    Go Cubs!!!

  • Gene

    Very nice article, Jason, but I feel it may be a little too optomistic near the end! I'm tired of it too and I am also growing weary of saying that we need to be strong up the middle. URGH! As you point out, and we all know, we need to be strong at the top (organization and lineup) and we are NOT! However, there is much more going wrong in this organization then we probably realize. Again, nice job, Jason!

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