Matter Over Mind

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It was odd reading about Mark Prior yesterday. As the meaning of his surgery completely sunk in, and the uncertainty of his future as a Cub grew to never-before-seen levels, I felt a bit like I had lost something important to me. As sure as I was that Prior could not be counted on at the beginning of this year, and as sure as Prior's health has been a circus the last few years, I still firmly believed it would all work itself out eventually, and that Prior would be on the mound in a Cubs uniform, throwing 94-96 mph. I believed this would happen someday....maybe not this year, but soon. Now it appears it may never happen again, or that he may resurface in the future wearing a uniform that is foreign to me. Was he "Mrs Prior" and he simply refused to pitch through pain? Was he too cautious in avoiding surgery over the past few seasons, effectively throwing away precious youthful years of his baseball career? Have the Cubs trainers been clueless, and borderline criminally negligent in their duties with Prior? Do you think you know the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth? You know better....

New Beginnings....

Jason Marquis, Ted Lilly, and Rich Hill have all been great for the Cubs thus far. While I don't expect Marquis and Lilly to finish with sub 3.00 ERAs, it is nice to see, from this small body of work, that they can definitely both be productive pitchers for us. Especially when you consider how potent our offense should be over the long haul.

Ryan "The Riot" Theriot started yesterday, and continued his hot-hitting ways. Along with Theriot, Felix Pie has been an infusion of farm talent onto an otherwise established veteran lineup. Could it be that the future is now? I am all for it, as if Theriot starts at either SS or 2B, and struggles mightily, we still have Izturis and DeRosa to turn to....so I hope Lou will start giving Theriot extended looks in the starting lineup. As for Pie....maybe he is the next Corey Patterson, or maybe he is everything Corey was supposed to become....the jury is definitely still out. However, I am all for adding his speed and defense into the lineup, but there is no way the Cubs will keep Matt Murton, Jacque Jones, or Cliff Floyd as a three-headed right-field rotation.

The good news is: you are allowed to trade in MLB! So Jim Spendry can set aside his giant leather wallet, emblazoned with the Tribune logo, and put on his trusty 'ol Trader Jim hat, and get to work on finding a reliable 5th starter. I would be open to giving Angel Guzman a chance, but this team is built to win, and win now, and I don't have time or patience for prolonged periods of experimentation. I would like Hendry to package Jones with a pitcher from the farm system in a trade for a quality 4th or 5th starter. Who would want Jones? I don't know, but I sure hope Hendry figures it out soon!

What I expect....

Things have been lousy so far....there is no denying the Cubs current win-loss record. Despite the bright spots of Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez getting off to good starts, and the pitching exploits of Marquis, Lilly, and Hill, there have been some disappointments as well. Let's take a look at how the Cubs can, and likely will, improve:

Got Bullpen?
Our bullpen was supposed to be the best in the league. Unfortunately, despite the Cubs best intentions, a bullpen is always a crapshoot, each and every year. We brought in Mike Remlinger after he had a great year, and he was only mildly productive for us in his tenure. The same goes for LaTroy Hawkins. So when the Cubs bought the "Best Bullpen Arms" on the market last off-season, in Scott Eyre and Bobby Howry, we seemed set for the next 3-4 years. Uhhh....hmmm. Well, I think they will still be fine, but it goes to show you that bullpen guys are, first and foremost, guys that failed at some level, to be starting pitchers in professional baseball. In fact, they were so lousy, for the most part, as starting pitchers, that they were thrown into the bullpen as a last resort. Guys like John Smoltz are the exception to the rule. So maybe it is unfair to expect Eyre and Howry to always be lights-out. I believe in cycles, and that things tend to even out over the course of an entire baseball year, so perhaps they are getting all their bad outings out of the way now, and saving their best for this Summer and Fall. That is my Glass Half Full view.

Alfonso Soriano
Given his recent injury and the games he missed, it is a bit unfair to label Soriano a disappointment so far, but we definitely haven't had a chance to see what he can do on a regular basis yet. Someday soon, he will have a 2-homer game, and then a 2-steal game, and we will all become instantly enlightened on why he was just given $136 million this winter. Eventually, we will have Soriano, Lee, and Ramirez all hitting well at the same time, and that is going to be one heck of an explosive offense!

Kerry Wood is still injured
If Wood ever got healthy, and became the dominant closer we all think he could be, wouldn't that free up Ryan Dempster to be a potential 5th starter? Hmmm....

Final Thoughts....

There are more reasons to be disappointed, to be sure, such as Wood and Prior's injuries, the lack of fundamentals, the constantly shifting OF, etc.... I would like to hear from you, CCO Readers, and give you a chance to vent, and reflect, on the season to date. What do you like, and what do you dislike. If you were the manager, or the GM for that matter, how would you fix things, or would you do nothing at all? Until next time, let's put Mark Prior out of our minds, hope for a winning streak to start, and let's go Cubs!

  • nick

    Anthony,

    I gotta agree with you DeRosa has done nothing but preform well when in the lineup.

  • Adam in Iowa

    Jim (Tinley Park),

    I prefer Theriot at #8 in the order. He has a higher OBP than DeRosa, and is more likely to draw a walk or single. Which is good in front of the pitcher spot. If Theriot singles or walks, then the pitcher can sacrifice him into scoring position for Soriano. Theriot would give Soriano a lot more chances to produce runs batting #8 than DeRosa.

    But I do love the idea of Soriano and Pie at the top of the order. That's a lot of speed to put pressure on opposing pitchers. Reminiscent of Pierre and Castillo with the Marlins in 2003.

  • agustin rexach

    I agree with you Anthony except that he is less patient than what you make of him. He is good in 2nd and I like him there. So what if he had a career year, well maybe he'll have three more with the cubs. I don't care if your name is Jones, Isturis or even Henry Blanco; if you perform today that is all that matters and you should be in the line-up. Unlike the last three mentioned.

  • Anthony

    Jason,

    Again, what is with so many people wanting DeRosa on the bench. He leads the team in HR's, and is darn close in extra base hits and RBI's, exhibits more patience at the plate than anyone else this year and has played good defense. It's like fans want to penalize him for having a great year last year, automatically assuming it was a career one. I'm not saying he will match those numbers, but at least find him innocent until proven guilty, in other words, until he proves it was a fluke, let him keep playing. Let's focus on our remaining weaknesses now that Izturis has been sat, i.e. Jones. Just my 2 cents

    Thanks

  • elliot

    So Dr. Andrews did nothing but some debridement in Prior's shoulder... basically, he did nothing. Meaning that the Cubs and Prior were REALLY REALLY hoping that Dr. Andrews would go in and FIND something torn, or something that looked repairable, but the shoulder looked fine. This is actually worse news for Prior and his career, as it means there is still no medical reason why his pitching has regressed, and pretty much means he will be like this for the rest of his career. At least he cashed in one final time for 3.5 million... smart man.

  • Agustin Rexach

    can somebody tell me what were Pujols comments on Marquis or where to read it?

  • agustin rexach

    Jason B.

    Creative thinking and it really would work out temporarily until we get rid of Jones. However I think Soriano's 2nd base days are over and I really, really have faith in DeRosa. He has shown really good defense in 2nd and Soriano is as reliable as Walker there. Soriano would probably cost us 3-4 games playing there just as it did the Yankees and Texas. Plus he got all that money thanks to the Nationals who wrestled him into an OF.

    Hey what’s up with trading Eyre? Cut him some slack, I prefer to have him 10 times over Ohman. He will perform.

  • Jason B. from AZ

    Aaron,

    I agree about Lieber...he may revisit some of his success from the past if he made it back to Wrigley. It would almost be a bit poetic, given that he is the last Cub pitcher to win 20 games, and we never really dwell on him in the media...it is always Wood and Prior and Wood and Prior. However, Lieber was a stud that got injured, too...and it would be neat that he made it back. Maybe it would foreshadow a return for Prior when he is 31 or 32 years old...you never know.

    It was brought up in a question to Paul Sullivan: why not put Soriano at 2B? He dismissed it pretty quickly, but really, we put up with Todd Walker for a couple years, and Soriano probably has better range than Walker. If Soriano went to 2B, you could have Theriot at SS, and have Izzy and DeRosa on the bench, where they would be perfect bench guys. This allows you to play Pie in CF, Jones/Floyd can stay in RF, and Murton can stay in LF. Your lineup would be:

    Soriano

    Theriot

    Lee

    Ramirez

    Jones/Floyd

    Barrett

    Murton

    Pie

    That sounds like our best possible lineup, to me...no holes there at all, and reduced pressure on Pie, which I think would be smart.

    The biggest thing is to get another 5th starter. Whether Cubs brass wants to admit it or not, they really thought they had either Miller or Prior ready to go in that spot, and both those options appear to be shot. Guzman should go light up AAA, and be prepared to come up if an injury occurs. I want a Lieber/Maddux type pitcher to come in and just be reliable and consistent...they don't have to get a shutout every night, just give the offense a chance to win the game.

  • Anthony

    Aaron,

    Lieber still has some life in him, and would be a really good 5th starter. I love Victorino too. I had him on my fantasy team at the end of last year and he did very well for me. If we could package Eyre and Jones, I would be ecstatic. I must say though, that the most intriguing would be for MacDougal. I think he is a stud.

    Either way, I really feel like the Cubs need to get rid of Jones. To say he isnt' a fan favorite would be a major understatement. Also, it opens up the logjam at that position so both Floyd and Murton can play more. And lastly, while Jones has some speed and can get to balls, he has the weakest, and worst throwing, arm of ANY RF I have seen.

  • Aaron

    Hey guys, I don't know if you caught it, but Sosa hit 2 home runs today...and just to think, he was a free agent we could've had....JUST KIDDING....SERIOUSLY, JUST KIDDING...

    Actually, the reason I brought it up is nostalgia for us all. The Rangers ended up losing the game, even with his 2 home runs. Now how many times did that happen to us? Seriously, the guy is all about himself. He has an ego on par with Terrell Owens, and his teams rarely win---just as T.O.

    Even Big Z scared me with his comments, saying, "if I don't get my contract, I'm outta here, that's what Carlos Zambrano thinks" I hope he doesn't get an ego like Sammy's

    Anyway, let's win one tomorrow!!! Everyone have a great night

  • Austin

    Trevor/Jim H:

    I guess I like small ball more, when Soriano gets on, I like having the ability to let him steal because Theriot is a more patient hitter (I don't think this would work the other way around). Also, I would like to see Theriot able to bunt Soriano over if need be, I also don't see Soriano doing this. Of course I would like to see him hit 2 run homers rather than solo shots, but they won't all be solo shots, just as they all wont be 2 run homers if he bats 2. Honestly, I would like to see him hit five. That would be the best 3-4-5 punch in the NL.

  • Jim H.

    Exactly, Trevor.

  • Trevor

    No, Austin, I'll be glad he's hitting those HR's and doubles when he's hitting behind someone who consistently gets on base like Theriot. Then its a 2 run shot instead of a solo HR. He can still steal bases from the 2 hole and Lee and ARam can move him around.

  • Aaron

    Jim,

    I totally feel what you're saying, especially at the top---I know what you were doing with the whole right, left, right sort of deal at the top, but I have to agree with Agustin that #8 seems to suit him a lot better at this stage, and Theriot is a higher OBP guy.

    I would, however, love to see Eyre and Jones packaged to the Phillies for Lieber and Victorino. The Phillies have a logjam of light-hitting CF's, and Victorino is one of them, and he is a switch hitter that has a decent OBP and decent speed. He is also very versatile. The Phillies also couldn't wait to get rid of Lieber at one point, so perhaps this deal would work. They're looking for some more pop in their OF, and Jones has that pedigree, so maybe this deal makes sense. We might have to include a prospect like O'Malley or something to get it done, who knows?

    I love the lineup we had, and if Piniella can run one out there like that or similar to that, then we should have a good crack at a decent winning streak, but if he continues to mess with it, then it'll be really hard to get any sort of consistency

    I do feel that the Phillies trade would probably make the most sense. You guys were right on about Beane not taking Jones---there's no way there. The four most logical fits would be Phillies, Pirates, Marlins, and White Sox.

    I already touched on the Phillies, so I'll elaborate on the rest. The Pirates were said to have interest in Jones this winter. With McClouth and Duffy---two light hitting guys sharing CF, Jones would make a logical fit there, but if we got anyone from them it'd just be a prospect or two, and their bullpen isn't all that bad. I could see maybe Chacon factored in a deal.

    The Marlins are in the same situation as the Pirates with Amezaga as the primary light-hitting CF with Izzy/Cedeno-esque stats. Maybe Jones would fit well with them, and we could nab a pitcher or two. But they don't seem to have a need for bullpen help either.

    My dark horse candidate for a trade would definitely have to be Bridgeport. But would they actually trade for an underperforming Jones without an arm, when defense seems to be the name of the game with them? Erstad appears to be a favorite, so he probably holds onto CF, and his back-up there, Anderson, is just plain horrendous. But, with the light-hitting Podsednik in LF, and the underperforming duo of Anderson/Erstad in CF for them, and Pods, Mackowiak, and Ozuna all in the mix---all of which are light hitting, perhaps they really could find a need for Jones, and trade one of their excess relievers, say MacDougal or could we steal Sisco back...hmmmmmmmmmm? Say for maybe Jones and Eyre, we get Sisco and a minor league outfielder like Cory Aldridge (high OBP guy) or Jerry Owens (speedy defensive guy, high OBP).

    Let's hope Hendry makes the wise move, and kicks the tires of Gillick and the Phillies, and see if we can get rid of Jones and possibly Eyre. I'd love to see an innings eater like Lieber back in a Cubs uniform, and I think Victorino would fit in well too.

  • Austin

    Just wait until Soriano is hitting those leadoff HR's and doubles, stealing bases, and scoring runs...it will happen. You will all be happy he's leading off and hopefully Theriot will be next, ready to drive him in or move him over.

  • Trevor

    Agreed about Pujols Jim H. He came across as a real jerk after Marquis pitched that well against them. I really hope he does it again.

  • Jim H.

    Btw, Jim (TP), absolutely agree about Terry Mulholland. LOL.

  • Jim H.

    My thoughts exactly, Anthony. I loved seeing that article on cubs.com about playing Theriot as the starting shortstop and reading Lou's comments on it. Its definitely a step in the right direction. The most important rethinking of the batting order that should be done, IMO, is getting Theriot in the leadoff spot and keeping him there. Beyond that, its not as crucial. Keep Lee 3rd and Aram 4th because they seem to like those spots. I guess I'll add that I don't mind Lee's lack of power so far the way he is getting on base. This team's power will blossom and I think we'll be in for a good summer.

    I would LOVE to see Marquis stick it to the Cards once again, especially after Pujols' asinine comments after he shut them out for 7 innings last time. He (Pujols) really comes across as a piece of s#!t and I'm glad he isn't a Cub. Screw him. Go MARQUIS!!

  • Anthony

    Trevor,

    I would love for Theriot to lead off, and I think the team would see an immediate positive impact as well. Soriano, however, would have to agree to this as he came here with the understanding that he will be the leadoff hitter. Let's hope winning is more important than batting 1st.

  • Trevor

    Keep Theriot leading off. He is the sparkplug that gets the offense going and his OBP is higher than Soriano. I'd bat Soriano second, and Pie down in the 8 spot.

  • agustin rexach

    Jim (Tinley Park)very true comment on Theriot at the bottom part of the lineup. But for now, until Pie is comfortable I would switch them 2 and have Pie on less stress at the bottom

  • Anthony

    Jim,

    Just when I was going to question why you would have DeRosa batting so deep in the lineup, being that he is leading the team in HR's and near the top in RBI's and extra base hits, I realized that there aren't many spots to put him. The lineup you provided is stacked, for the most part and there really isn't an easy out in it, when guys are on mind you.

    Obviously it would be different against a left handed starter, but I like your thinking here.

  • Jim (Tinley Park)

    Jason B:

    I never considered Wood or Prior to be part of the 2007 equation, therefore I am not disappointed,It was status quo. As a matter of fact, I think Terry Mulholland will return to the Cubs before Prior ever will. I agree with you that I would rather see the Cubs trade Jones instead of Murton. I'm not as crazy about Murton as some people are. I admit, I bought into the Peter Gammons article about him a few years back when he was part of the Nomar trade.

    The cubs have way more talent than last year and I expect them to be contenders for NL central. I am glad Lou decided to give Theriot a shot at SS. I also prefer to keep Pie batting second (Between Soriano and Lee) so he will see a majority of fastballs. I also like Floyd to bat 4th. My prefered lineup:

    Soriano LF

    Pie CF

    Lee 3B

    Floyd RF

    Ramirez 3B

    Barrett C

    Theriot SS

    De Rosa 2b

    Theriot gives the bottom of the lineup some OBP help

    that is sorely needed.

  • DL

    I understand Beane's approach. The "Moneyball" strategy is perfect for free agency and drafting. However, you can't be terribly picky about constructing a team when you are through a month of the season, and you have two outfielders on the DL.

  • Jason B. from AZ

    DL,

    You are on the right track for sure...but I would wonder about Jones in Oakland, as Billy Beane loves his high-OBP guys, and I wonder if he would be opposed to Jones. Also, he likes the young pitching prospects that are cheaper, and which his club will have arbitration rights to for the next couple of years, keeping costs down.

    So I see Oakland being all over a package of Murton and a prospect arm, for example.

    I would rather trade Jones than Murton, but I think Oakland would rather have Murton, and the Cubs may feel Jones' left-handed bat, and his speed, are more desirable than what Murton brings to the table, given their mostly right-handed lineup.

  • Nathanael

    Given Oakland's "Moneyball" approach, I can't imagine them taking Jones and his sub-300 OBP. That would go against how Beane constructs a team.

  • DL

    I'm done with Prior, hopefully the Cubs are too. Now on to a possible solution for Jones and the Cubs rotation. Oakland has nothing but starting pitching. They rattled off twenty something scoreless innings in a row with their starters. Meanwhile, they have a ton of injuries in the outfield with the latest being a hamstring injury to Swisher. I wouldn't be surprised to see Jones land in Oakland. Earlier we could only talk about Ohman being thrown in with Jones. Scott Eyre is much more desirable to teams, and more expendable to the Cubs than before. I could see Jones & Eyre being traded for Chad Gaudin or Joe Kennedy. Thoughts?

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