The Dog Days of Winter

Vote 0 Votes

The first couple of months of this off-season have been like no other the Faithful had ever seen, the Cubs were spending money like they were printing it themselves in the basement of the old ballpark. $75 million here, $136 million there....it appeared there was no end in sight and Jim Hendry was handing out long-term contracts like they grew on trees. Lou Piniella still has to have a smile on his face considering the last organization he was a part of was tighter than the paint on the wall. But after the official signings of Ted Lilly and Daryle Ward last week, little has come out of Chicago, not even a press release confirming the signing of Jason Marquis.

The word of the week appears to be stopgap, as in a player that will have no long-term value or staying power with the Cubs in order to give Felix Pie a chance to mature in the Minor Leagues and in turn avoid the fate that the last top prospect endured. But in the National League, is there such a thing?

The Senior Circuit is baseball at its purest, no designated hitter and according to some, more strategical. But in the National League every spot in the batting order is more important than those in the American League. In the AL a manager can hide a weak hitting fielder because of the designated hitter but in the NL it is a whole different story. In the NL it is about OBP, hitting behind the runner and playing hit and run, etc. It is less about the long ball and more about solid fundamental baseball.

Jim Hendry has improved the Cubs from last season, no doubt, but several of the players on the projected 25-man roster are coming off of career years or injuries and inserting a stopgap could add to the frustrations that were on the Northside in 2006. Granted a healthy lineup should be more productive but there could be more solo home runs than Lou Piniella and his staff are prepared to see.

When Lou Piniella hired Gerald Perry to be his hitting coach, the phrase on base percentage was shouted from the rooftops across the street of Wrigley. Those three very important letters, OBP, had finally become a part of the Cubs vocabulary and the fundamentals that this organization has lacked should not be far behind. But inserting a stopgap in center could undo all of the positive moves Jim Hendry has made.

Felix Pie has struggled in the Dominican Winter league. Pie is a fine player that needs time to develop and not to be rushed in to Wrigley just to fill a spot in the hopes he will become the player that so many think he will....one day. He did not have what anyone would call a banner year at Iowa and his line so far this winter is closer to that of Mendoza than Beltran.

2006 Winter Ball - .216/.263/.272, 1 HR, 16 RBI, 27 k's, 7 walks, 5 stolen bases in 125 at bats

2006 Iowa (AAA) - .283/.341/.451/792, 15 HR, 57 RBI, 126 k's, 46 walks, 17 stolen bases (11 caught) in 559 at bats

Pie is a better than average defender with an above average arm but his offensive struggles at the Major League level could affect his defense as it has so many others before him. Pie's struggles at the plate caused Matthew Pouliot from Rotowire to say putting Pie in center in 2007 "would be a good way to cancel out much of what Alfonso Soriano adds to the lineup."

Are there any other options for centerfield? It appears not via free agency, other than Steve Finley, and the Cubs appear set to put Soriano in right and give Matt Murton a chance to remain in left. Some have mentioned Jacque Jones as a possibility in center but the question remains....does he want to play in Chicago to begin with?

The Cubs have filled some of the obvious problems they had last season but there are several questions they still must find answers to. They have inserted a big bat at the top of the lineup with a history of a lot of swings and misses (160 in 647 at bats in 2006). A report on Cubs.com indicated Piniella is toying with the idea of either Cesar Izturis or Mark DeRosa hitting in the 2-hole. But with Soriano leading off (career .325 OBP, .351 OBP in 2006) the Cubs must find more of a traditional leadoff hitter to insert in the 2-hole than Izturis (career .295 OBP, .295 OBP in 2006) or DeRosa (career .331 OBP, .357 OBP in 2006). And he should be left-handed (or a switch-hitter) as well in order to break up an extremely right-handed lineup that might not see a lefty until the 5th or 6th spot in the order.

The Cubs projected lineup for 2007 will have to put up runs on a consistent basis if they want to make up any of those 17 1/2 games that separated them from the Cardinals last season. Hendry and Company have done a good job at adding pieces to this point but it is those little moves that he could make that could turn the Cubs fortunes around in the New Year.

  • nick

    Aaron, good point, switch Pagan and Iz around.

  • Jim

    No way we can afford either of them if we want to sign Zambrano and then Prior if he returns to form.

  • Ben

    I like the idea of a stop gap in center. However, I differ from some of you. I would like to get a guy like Finley or Griffey for 1 year but not to give Pie another year to develop. I think we need to wait a year for Tori Hunter and Andruw Jones to become free agents.

  • Mordecai Brown

    I like Soriano batting first. One thing about solo home runs to lead off the game, your pitcher has an instant 1-0 lead to play with. Psychologically, any score in the first inning is damaging to your opponent, especially if your pitching staff figures to hang onto the lead. We have that kind of starting staff for 2007, for the first time since 2003.



    Why can't we use Murton in the second spot batting? I know he's still a work in progress, but our known-quantity options (Izturis and De Rosa) do not figure to outhit Murton,and our younger options (Theriot and Pagan)are unlikely to surpass Murton in BA OBP or SA, although they probably would steal more bases. We just don't have a Sandberg to plug in there, nor are we likely to find one anytime soon. I am licking my chops over the 2009 lineup:



    Soriano RF

    Patterson 2b

    Lee 1b

    Ramierez 3b

    Murton LF

    Pie CF

    Barrett C

    Whoever ss



    Combine that with whatever cream rises to the top and Hill, Zambrano and Lilly, mix well with a strong bench and solid relief pitching, and bake up a pennant.

  • jerljr

    Even though I don't see it happening, I would rather see them pick up a ideal lead-off hitter and move soriano back to two. Just because his skills as a hitter would be more productive there plus they would have to pitch to him with Lee and Ramirez batting directly behind him. ala Ryne Sandberg. He will probably have quite a few solo homeruns batting first.

  • jerljr

    .240 in the minors would mean a below .200 in the majors. plus it doesn't sound like he's doing too good in the winter leagues either. Pie might end up being a bust. I think we will end up having a revolving door in the 2 spot. We dont have an ideal 2nd position hitter to put there. Hopefully one of the guys that have been mentioned will step up and take the role.

  • Jim

    Aaron nice addition. Put Pagan in the 2-hole. Like that idea. I definetly don;t want to see Izzy in that spot. Either Derosa/Theriot or Pagan would be the better fit. Can't wait till spring training.



    Finley would be a great defensive option but he is done as a hitter. His #'s the last two seasons are awful. I think Pagan can put up better #'s and would give us another threat on the basepaths. He has shown he can play all three spots. I'd much rather see Pagan given a shot than Pie. They need to let the kid have some success at AAA before he is called up. A batting avg. of .240ish is not ready.

  • Aaron

    Funny how far Griffey's star has fallen, huh? He went from arguably the greatest athlete to ever play the game to an injury-riddled former superstar that gets a bad rap for not being healthy. I could only imagine what his career would be like, had he taken steroids like Bonds did to help repair the wear and tear on his body...maybe he'd have 800 home runs already, who knows?



    I would absolutely love to have Griffey. Not only does he pose a tremendous left-handed threat, but he is, by all accounts, a great clubhouse guy, and a consumate professional. His injuries---broken wrist, broken ankle, torn hamstring, knee ligaments---were all hustling all-out trying to beat out a hit or catch a ball. But I agree, he is no longer a CF, because he puts himself at risk, unfortunately by giving a 100% on every play out there, and CF covers a lot of ground. He'd be better in LF or RF.



    Nick, I too would love to see Pagan out there, and he looked to be a very solid pick up for us from the get-go until his injury. It'll be interesting to see what he does in the future, perhaps given 162 games to prove himself...However, his minor league stats a very mediocre: http://cbs.sportsline.com/mlb/players/playerpage/490155



    His longest season was '05 with about 129 games. Realistically, I think he'd be good for about 10 home runs, 55 rbi, and 40 stolen bases with a .345 OBP and .285 avg. Not bad, and I think he'd definitely be an upgrade over Pierre, except he strikes out a lot more...yet he has speed, power, and a pretty good OBP, not to mention, he does actually know how to take a walk, unlike Pierre.



    I say, given the current FA centerfielders available, you have to like your chances with Pagan.



    Nick...commenting on your lineup...I think you have a major problem in the 2 hole, as Neil mentioned. Izturis offensively is like Neifi---belongs in the 8 hole. In the 2 hole, I'd throw Pagan there, hands down. Switch hitter, power, speed....that'd be pretty exciting with 2 speed--power guys at the top of the order.

  • Nathanael

    I really think that Jones is the best option. That would give us an outfield that would probably hit 80-100 home runs, and drive in 250 or so runs. The defense with Jones might not be ideal, but I think it wouldn't be unbearable. We need to give Pie another year to improve, and Pagan is fine, but I think Jones would be better.

  • Gary J. in WA

    Why does it sometimes feel like folks think the offseason was a disappointment because we didn't sign a 39 year old guy for $6 mil + that's going to be playing for his 8th team in 5 years? I think Lofton would have a been a good option as well... but sheesh ya'll. I think Hendry's given us plenty for Christmas this year :-)



    Jones would be the best option offensively if he could be persuaded that things will be different under Lou and with Soriano holding the attention of the spotlight this year. He's played CF (in his younger days admittedly) and his arm wouldn't be such a liability there - at least it's better than Pierre. The offense would be more solid with him than without him.



    But if he wants to go then I wish him well.... Pagan would seem to be a good fallback option for solid defense while Pie seasons a bit more in AAA. Finley would be a better option defensively, and I wouldn't mind seeing him signed to a contract similar to what we gave Ward, but there's something to be said for throwing Pagan out there and letting the youngster play too

  • Jim

    Nick I am with you. Give the job to Pagan. He will do better than Pie and has to do better than Finley. Griffey would be a mistake.

  • Chad

    I really feel like they are pushing Pie to be the starter behind the scenes. I live in Des Moines, and have seen him in 3 AAA games. He is definitely a great athlete, but he is still green at the plate. If we get good production from the big boppers consistently, it could lessen the pain. I just hate when they hype these kids so much when they haven't proved a thing against top competition.

  • Chad

    Pie is not ready!

  • nick

    Steve, that does look like a solid lineup, but that might be a pretty hard one to pull off. I still like the sound of Pagan, very athletic, good with a glove. That is a solid fielding lineup with good power and speed. All depending of course if we keep Jones or not.



    Soriano

    Izturis

    Lee

    Ramirez

    Barrett

    Murton

    Pagan

    DeRosa

    P

  • Ryan R

    Health concerns would be an understatement. He was out for 2 weeks last year for a dislocated toe. Give me a break. Living in Cincy I have to hear about him constantly. He was supposed to be the savior of the franchise and ended up being just an average power hitter who is paid alot. Now their talking about moving him to right or left. I definitely think it would be a mistake. Cincy press is bad enough. Chicago press would crucify the guy.

  • geen

    I don’t see Cincinnati helping us shore up our outfield but stranger things have happened. I’m not sure if Lofton wanted to stay somewhere warmer or we didn’t offer enough cash or what but with him off the market we are kind of stuck between a rock and a hard place. The thought of Finley has been rumored although he may help give Pie more time in AAA his bat is just as weak or weaker (who knows what he can still do with a bat). Finley can only be thought of as insurance for whatever chance the cubs take using Jones, Pie or Soriano in CF. I hope something works out so that the Cubs end up with talent in CF but I can't see what JH is going to do at this point.

  • Mordecai Brown

    I like the idea of adding Ken Griffey to the lineup. Yes, he's a health gamble. The price may be too high. But the man can flat hit, he knows his way around centerfield, and he has always been a good teammate. A move like this could spell playoffs.



    As badly as the Reds need relief pitching, the Cubs ought to be able to put together a package that would not cripple us and would help the Reds.



    Failing this, what about hiring Finley as a place holder? Would he take a one-year contract?

  • Steve

    Here's a fun idea. He's a centerfielder. He's lefty. He's aging with only 2 years left on his contract. How about trading for Ken Griffey Jr.? Think about that. There are obviously health concerns, but he put together a fairly healthy season last year so there is room for optimism.



    Soriano

    Griffey

    Lee

    Ramirez

    Barrett

    Murton

    DeRosa

    Izturis

    P



    That looks rock solid to me. What are your thoughts?

blog comments powered by Disqus







CCO Twitter Updates




Shop WrigleyvilleSports.com Today!


Twitter Sports

Cubs on Twitter

Displaying tweets tagged with #Cubs

via twitter sports net


Recent Comments


Chicago Cubs Online - Featured On The Web Here

Chicago Cubs Online - one of Chicago's best blogs
Chicago Cubs Online - on Chicago Sun Times Chicago Cubs Online - on Sports Illustrated

ChicagoCubsOnline on YouTube