Patience and Power....A Winning Combination

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Game Eighty-Eight - Cubs 11 Brewers 4

wflag.jpg The Cubs ended the first half of the season the way they started it....with a win and in fact way back in April the Cubs won their first 4 out of 5 games to start the season and with Sunday's very impressive win in Milwaukee the Cubs have won their last 4 out of 5 games....something happened in between, but for now the Cubs have played possibly their best stretch of ball of the season.

When Mark Prior was scratched from his start right before game time the Cubs turned to Glendon Rusch and though Rusch has been one of the problems this season on Sunday he stepped up and pitched a very good game....something the Cubs desperately needed. The offense and the bullpen was tremendous again, it is actually a shame the break starts on Monday, it has really been enjoyable the past three games, and a better part of a week, to watch this team play....they have won 5 out of the last 8.

This was the way the season was supposed to go....good starting pitching, a strong bullpen, a lot of speed, Juan Pierre creating havoc on the base paths and just enough power to get the job done. If you missed any of the last three games you have missed some very good baseball from the Cubbies.

On Sunday the Cubs set a new season high in walks with 9 and to quote Bob Brenly, "I remember whole series where the Cubs did not get 9 walks." Of those 9 walks 5 of them scored and for once this season the Cubs did to an opponent what has been done to them all year. The Cubs made the Brewers staff work and that is when pitchers make mistakes. The Cubs plated runs in 6 of the 9 innings and scored at least 1 run off of 4 of the 5 Brewers' pitchers, including 7 off of the starter, lefty Doug Davis. Half of their 14 hits were for extra bases (5 doubles and 2 home runs), they were 4 for 12 with runners in scoring position with a sacrifice fly and a sacrifice squeeze bunt in the 4th inning and they were 3 for 6 with runners in scoring position and 2 outs.

Juan Pierre, who has been the player of late the Cubs traded for this past off-season, led the game off with a walk, stole 2nd (number 30 of the season and 6 straight years with 30 or more steals), advanced to 3rd on a wild pitch and scored on a single to left by Aramis Ramirez. The Cubs went quietly in the 2nd and 3rd but the 4th inning showed what the Cubs are capable of.

Aramis Ramirez led off the inning with a monster shot to straight away center that hit the scoreboard. Michael Barrett followed with a 4-pitch walk and advanced to 3rd on a ground rule double by Jacque Jones that went over the left field wall. Matt Murton, who has 5 RBI's in his last 3 games, hit a sacrifice fly to center that scored Barrett and advanced Jones to 3rd....it was good heads up base running by Jones. Ronny Cedeno then laid down a perfect bunt, a suicide squeeze to score Jones from 3rd, Cedeno was credited with a sacrifice bunt and the Cubs scored 3 runs in the inning with good fundamentals and execution.

The Cubs added 3 more in the 6th after Barrett led off the inning with another 4-pitch walk he advanced to 3rd on a single to right by Jones (who by the way finished the first half with very impressive stats .306/.336/.528/15/45 after a shaky start), Murton walked to load the bases, Cedeno struck out swinging, Phil Nevin walked to score Barrett and Juan Pierre doubled to score Jones and Murton. Jones doubled again in the 7th with 2 outs and scored on a broken bat single to right by Matt Murton. Angel Pagan hit his 3rd home run of the season, all on Sunday, to center in the 8th and he scored again in the 9th on a wild pitch with the bases loaded after Neifi Perez had doubled and scored on a single by Juan Pierre. Pierre finished the day 2 for 5 with 3 RBI's and a run scored. Ramirez was 3 for 4 with a home run, 2 RBI's, a walk and a run scored....he is one hit shy of 1,000 for his career. Matt Murton was 1 for 2 with a walk, 2 RBI's and a run scored....Pierre, Ramirez and Murton were responsible for 9 of the 11 runs on the day.

Glendon Rusch pitched a very good game and only surrendered 2 runs on 4 hits, walked 2 and struck out 5. Rusch made some very good pitches but the Brewers were patient and refused to swing at them early in the game. Rusch really made only one mistake and that was to Rickie Weeks in the 3rd, a solo home run to left to lead off the inning. Once the Brewers got behind their aggressive nature took over and they beat themselves. Dusty used his entire pen on Sunday and they were very effective. Will Ohman, Scott Williamson, Roberto Novoa, Scott Eyre, Bobby Howry and Ryan Dempster all contributed in the last 4 innings of the game and surrendered 2 runs on 6 hits, no walks and struck out 7. The only 2 runs the bullpen gave up came off the bat of Carlos Lee in the 8th.

Sunday's win was a good way to head into a long break, the only Cub that will see any action over the next few days is Carlos Zambrano. I know that everyone is ready for change on the Northside but I hope the guys come back from the break and play like they have over the last 9 days. Since Derrek Lee returned the Cubs are 6-9 but they are playing much better baseball and I think that is all that any of the Faithful want.

Stay tuned to the CCO during the All-Star break, there will be plenty to talk and read about. The Futures game was on Sunday that featured Eric Patterson, the AAA All-Star game is on Wednesday in which Rich Hill is starting, there will be Minor League reports and updates and as usual everything possible related to the Chicago Cubs.

  • Chad

    You're right about Zito and Schmidt. NY and the Angels, maybe Boston, will way overpay for both those guys. We probably shouldn't get in a bidding war with those teams anyway. Look how it has turned out for Toronto.

    Question: Will Aramis opt out of his contract at the end of this season? He is owed $33 Million over the next 3 years, but some think at 28 years old he could get more than that because 3B is so hard to fill nowadays.

  • jim (tinley park)

    I missed most of today's game due to the World Cup

    (Bravo Italia!!!)

    I just shook my head and pounded another shot of sambuca when I heard about Prior. Obviously this team needs starting pitching and lots of it.

    We have Zambrano and:

    Marshall: Shows promise.

    Marmol: Shows Promise

    After that we have........

    Maddux : He will not be back.

    Wood: DONE!!!!

    Prior: Maybe good for 15 starts a year.

    Rusch: Still Sucks

    Ryu: Not impressed plus he didn't even make his World Cup Tourney team.

    Guzman: So-So, not ready to give up on him.

    Miller: Another Hendry Reclamation project with a bad wing.

    Hill: Maybe the greatest AAA pitcher of all time. Not so good in the majors.

    The other guys like Shaver, Wells, Pawelak, Gallagher are years away. Kenny Williams gets Freddy Garcia and Javy Vazquez for : Miguel Olivio (Who's been waiver and traded since his Seattle days and Jeremy Reed) and El Duque (Been traded) and high ranking prospect. Hendry's big splash was

    Wade Miller, Jerome Williams, and Jason Simontachi. Garcia and Vazquez would look pretty good in a Cub uniform right now compared to Rusch, Wiiliams, Miller etc. When Hendry starts to deal by the end of the month, I hope he can get us some major league ready talent.

  • Jason B. from AZ

    Mark,

    I am sensing you are unhappy with how things are going?

    Seriously though, you wouldn't keep Aramis Ramirez or Pierre? There aren't any free agents, or even Cubs prospects, that could come close to duplicating their production...

    I agree many fringe players could be let go, but not many of the starters (unless you trade Jones while his value is high).

  • Mark

    Here's what you do......Keep Lee, Cedeno, Murton, Marshall and Zambrano...........that's it!!! We need to RE-BUILD, and every damn year we rely on soemone we pick up and it NEVERR works! We need to sweep out the trash! The only guy we picked up and had a great year was Dawson (MVP) and we were dead last!! Wood and Prior are a BUNCH OF WOMEN and I've said that from day 1.......looked where they've gotton us! Don't go out get Calos Lee for 2 months or pay 11 million where he'll suck in left feild like everyone else we get to depend on. We need to start over, coaches, front office, hell the TRIBUNE needs to sell the Cubs to someone who WANTS TO WIN! They certainly don't. IT"S BEEN 98 FREAKING YEARS, COME ON!!

  • Mark

    Here's what you do......Keep Lee, Cedeno, Murton, Marshall and Zambrano...........that's it!!! We need to RE-BUILD, and every damn year we rely on soemone we pick up and it NEVERR works! We need to sweep out the trash! The only guy we picked up and had a great year was Dawson (MVP) and we were dead last!! Wood and Prior are a BUNCH OF WOMEN and I've said that from day 1.......looked where they've gotton us! Don't go out get Calos Lee for 2 months or pay 11 million where he'll suck in left feild like everyone else we get to depend on. We need to start over, coaches, front office, hell the TRIBUNE needs to sell the Cubs to someone who WANTS TO WIN! They certainly don't. IT"S BEEN 98 FREAKING YEARS, COME ON!!

  • Jason B. from AZ

    Chad,

    We have some of the same views on most of the positions...but I believe you are being too optimistic to expect Hendry/Tribsters to overpay for anyone.

    Don't misunderstand: I think Zito or Schmidt and Carlos Lee and Soriano would all make great additions, but there is absolutely no precedent for Hendry/Tribsters spending big money on free agents.

    Name a big free agent the Cubs have signed, WITH a big contract. Nomar came in a trade, and then resigned on the cheap. Lee, Ramirez, Sosa, and Wood all were signed to extensions...not free agents. Maddux almost doesn't count, because he was a value (not only from a marketing perspective, but also he has been our most productive pitcher in wins and innings over the life of his contract) at about $6-9 million a year.

    The closest to a big signing (which wasn't really talked about much at the time) was Moises Alou, at about $9 million a year. In comparison, I would definitely take Carlos Lee now, over Moises Alou then, in terms of who is a better player. The only problem is, Lee will ask for about $15 million a year.

    Hendry/Tribsters tend to always try and catch a star off a down year (so he is cheap) or get a good player in a trade (and hope he gets better, ala Lee and Ramirez).

    What they don't do, though, is spend $12-15 million a year on free agents. Never. They don't get ARod, or Beltran, or Soriano, or Tejada, or Furcal...because they won't overpay.

    This isn't necessarily a bad strategy, but what it means is that your farm system MUST produce, and you have to upgrade through trades.

    Our only assets that are tradable, I believe, are the following: Maddux, Walker, Eyre, Howry, Dempster, Williamson, and Jones. I wouldn't want to part with any of our other players, as we don't have anyone to replace them with. Don't trade Pierre and hope that Pie is ready...we heard the "can't miss" talk about Corey Patterson...why will Pie be any different?

    I like Eyre and Howry, but I list them as assets to trade, because contenders will overpay for quality bullpen help, and you can always address the bullpen in the offseason. Same with Dempster. Wood may factor into the bullpen next year, and Aardsma is on the rise, so you probably don't need Williamson, Howry, and Dempster in 2007.

    Can you get a superstar for any of these guys? Probably not. But if you throw in Rich Hill or Guzman, maybe you can get a really decent player to plug into 2B or short (moving Cedeno to 2B) next year.

    If you have a pulse, and are anywhere near .500 lifetime, and you are a free agent starting pitcher, you can expect to fetch about $10 million a year...just ask AJ Burnett and all those worthless and injured guys on the Yankees staff. Hendry won't pay for that kind of talent, when he believes so much in his farm system.

    Nope...here is next year's rotation:

    Prior, Zambrano, Marshall, Marmol, and Guzman

    They are young, talented, and fairly cheap!

    Here is your lineup

    Pierre (or Pie if Hendry thinks Pierre wants too much)

    Luis Castillo (or another decent, but not superstar, 2B)

    Derrick Lee

    Aramis

    Jones

    Barrett

    Murton

    Cedeno

    I would expect a bunch of bench additions, and some better bullpen arms besides Novoa and Ohman...but I honestly don't expect much else.

    At least not in free agency! Hendry has proven he can build through a trade...but never has he done so with marquee names in free agency.

    He would rather find a $5 million guy like Jacque Jones (a guy coming off a down year) and hope he gets a bargain. That is what Hendry, a former scout, lives for...finding talent where others have given up.

    I predict our payroll will be around $80 million next year...with no big signings, and just increases for guys like Zambrano.

  • Chad

    Add Williamson to the traded players in both plans.

  • Chad

    OK, Plan B. This is an exciting way to go, but painful for a couple of years. In reality, the Trib probably can't do this without horific criticism and outcrys of profiteering.

    We blow up the roster. We do a Marlins and build around D.Lee and Big Z. (Although they would be upset.) We use next year to see who can play, then fill in with FA's for 2008.

    We trade these players at the deadline or in the off-season for many of the top prospects in baseball:

    Howry-great value now.

    Eyre-same as Howry.

    ARam-good value because 3B and C are the most difficult positions to fill nowadays.

    Barrett-same as ARam.

    Jones-good value.

    Maddux-decent value.

    Prior,Dempster, Nevin, and Perez-if possible.



    We could get a lot of quality in return. In this plan we don't trade our young guys like Hill and Pie.

    Starting Pitching:

    Zambrano

    and some of these...

    Marshall

    Marmol

    Guzman

    Hill

    Wells

    Shaver

    Ryu

    Gallagher

    Veal

    Holliman

    et al...

  • Chad

    It was great to see well played baseball. And I also hope it continues, with or without Baker.

    Now is as good a time as any to share my thoughts about 2007. (Subject to change daily, if not hourly.) Here is Plan A and my most realistic scenario:

    I think the team isn't that far from turning this thing around. Mostly, they need to completely overhaul their starting pitching. Their line-up is not that bad; adding a healthy Lee, less pressure to carry the poor starting pitching, and a more consistent Pierre would go a long way. So here goes:

    C-Barrett with Blanco as back-up is pretty good.

    1B-A healthy Lee.

    2B-One of the positions that needs an upgrade through trade or Free Agency.

    SS-Cedeno. I'd keep Cedeno and would be willing to move him to 2nd if a better SS is available than a 2nd baseman.

    3B-Ramirez...He will hit better with a healthy Lee, but he will always have some lapses of hustle. In a perfect world every MLB player would play with the passion of a Ron Santo, but the reality is quite different. ARam is a very good defender with some pop. There just aren't many of those around. I would keep him. The Red Sox managed to win a title with a Ramirez who is 10 times worse attitude wise than Aramis...then again Manny is a much better hitter...

    LF-Murton, if he has a good 2nd half, or an off-season upgrade. This is a good place to discuss Carlos Lee. I would sign him if possible, but I have some reservations. He has not been injury prone, but he has a huge body and is now in his 30's. There aren't many great players that big who stayed great into their mid-30's. The joints or back usually give out. David Ortiz has escaped it so far, but he doesn't play in the NL. I'd rather have Soriano; and he could play 2nd if needed.

    CF-I would re-sign Pierre. Soriano could lead-off during Pierre's slumps.

    RF-Jones can hit, and run down a lot of balls in the field, but his throwing is a huge liability. But our line-up is so right handed that we would have to get a real good lefty hitter if we traded Jones. I also love his attitude. Pagan, if he continues his stellar play could work out here...especially if Soriano or C. Lee is added.

    Bench-We need huge upgrades here. Pagan, if he doesn't start, is a good 4th OF, Blanco is a good C, and Walker would be good if he could accept a limited role. But we need several upgrades.

    Starting pitching-Wow, we need a lot of help here.

    Zamrano-awesome!!!

    Zito or Schmidt-We'll have to overpay.

    A good starter via trade-We could use Hill and Pie to land a good starter near FA from a small market. Maybe even Dontrelle Willis.

    These guys fight it out for the last 2 spots:

    Marshall

    Marmol

    Prior-unless we could trade him for someone of value.

    Guzman

    Bullpen:

    Dempster-unless we could trade him at the deadline.

    Howry

    Eyre

    Aardsma

    Ohman

    Novoa

    (Could Marmol be a good closer?)

    Wood-we should give him a chance if he's willing. But we should not count on Prior or Wood at all.



    We need one more big slugger and a high on-base guy added to next year's line up. I would love to get Soriano or C.Lee added with Jones, Murton, or Pagan showing more promise.

    Most importantly, we need a dependable, quality starting staff. It doesn't have to be like 2003, but it needs to be a lot better than its been the other years. We have quite a bit of money available and some coveted young arms that should be enough to get the players we need.

  • Mordecai Brown

    Rich Hill is a puzzling case. His great success in AAA and dismal failure in the majors are such a strong contrast,it's hard to believe this is the same pitcher in both places. If it is so simple as the tale that he lacks a pitch to succeed in Chicago, then why don't they convert him to relief work, where one or two good pitches work just fine for an inning or so? There has to be enough of a connection between pitching in the high minors and pitching in the majors that great success at 2A or 3A yields at least a little success upstairs. I'd sure like to hear an explanation that makes sense and doesn't make the Cubs organization look like idiots.

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